Nebraska · away
at
Final NEB 31 – 13 MSU
Saturday 2026-09-26 17:00 · Spartan Stadium
Michigan State · home
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
MSU pass rush6.8% 10341st9.8% 22446thfaces NEB3.2% 9333rd5.0% ~1.7 sacks
NEB pass rush7.2% 8332nd9.5% 16953rdfaces MSU10.2% 118130th8.7% ~2.9 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

NEB with the ball

NEB offence vs MSU defenceNEB offenceMSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.4146th0.151103rd+97
success rate0.49825th0.42796th+71
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.4398th1.23472nd+64
rush: points added per play0.3445th0.06081st+76
rush: success rate0.49429th0.455110th+81
rush: explosiveness1.2595th0.85442nd+37
pass: points added per play0.49917th0.21290th+73
pass: success rate0.50031st0.37953rd+22
pass: explosiveness1.65845th1.723114th+69
standard downs: success rate0.51744th0.48497th+53
passing downs: success rate0.4494th0.30189th+85
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.40828th2.75958th+30
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.15251st0.260128th+77
short-yardage conversion rate0.72087th0.63235th-52
points per trip inside the 405.1929th3.60086th+77
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11023rd0.15152nd+29
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07134th0.09562nd+28
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03932nd0.05658th+26
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.70087th——

MSU with the ball

MSU offence vs NEB defenceMSU offenceNEB defencerank gap
points added per play0.033115th-0.01843rd-72
success rate0.44465th0.36646th-19
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.082130th1.24178th-52
rush: points added per play-0.008117th0.00260th-57
rush: success rate0.41595th0.35537th-58
rush: explosiveness0.848104th1.050106th+2
pass: points added per play0.15593rd-0.10712th-81
pass: success rate0.48341st0.34926th-15
pass: explosiveness1.347121st1.34220th-101
standard downs: success rate0.50555th0.46482nd+27
passing downs: success rate0.27898th0.1907th-91
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.92397th2.89875th-22
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.204108th0.18251st-57
short-yardage conversion rate0.71490th0.800108th+18
points per trip inside the 403.346105th2.61124th-81
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.192128th0.204121st-7
havoc allowed by the front seven0.128130th0.136119th-11
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06494th0.06890th-4
average starting field position (yards from own goal)68.300105th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.