Buffalo · away
at
Final BUF 13 – 55 PSU
Saturday 2026-09-19 12:00 · Beaver Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
PSU pass rush4.3% 11684th8.3% 22878thfaces BUF2.9% 6926th3.6% ~1.2 sacks
BUF pass rush1.5% 65129th4.8% 145136thfaces PSU4.4% 11359th3.0% ~1.0 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

BUF with the ball

BUF offence vs PSU defenceBUF offencePSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.000122nd-0.10319th-103
success rate0.333136th0.31510th-126
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.21972nd1.17147th-25
rush: points added per play-0.027120th0.04074th-46
rush: success rate0.340133rd0.33931st-102
rush: explosiveness0.91882nd1.129125th+43
pass: points added per play0.047114th-0.1643rd-111
pass: success rate0.324132nd0.2966th-126
pass: explosiveness1.50283rd1.2074th-79
standard downs: success rate0.379134th0.36511th-123
passing downs: success rate0.240119th0.22423rd-96
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.704119th2.52933rd-86
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.19295th0.229109th+14
short-yardage conversion rate0.80034th0.66750th+16
points per trip inside the 404.25053rd3.63688th+35
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.16397th0.195114th+17
havoc allowed by the front seven0.10198th0.11294th-4
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06290th0.083120th+30
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.60039th——

PSU with the ball

PSU offence vs BUF defencePSU offenceBUF defencerank gap
points added per play0.22055th0.11691st+36
success rate0.41894th0.36644th-50
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.29942nd1.445131st+89
rush: points added per play0.10278th0.01764th-14
rush: success rate0.40999th0.38556th-43
rush: explosiveness0.92981st0.92673rd-8
pass: points added per play0.39132nd0.25197th+65
pass: success rate0.43472nd0.36743rd-29
pass: explosiveness1.81317th1.955135th+118
standard downs: success rate0.47392nd0.42954th-38
passing downs: success rate0.270106th0.25747th-59
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.835105th3.039100th-5
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.13634th0.19265th+31
short-yardage conversion rate0.72782nd0.62532nd-50
points per trip inside the 403.96766th3.53681st+15
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11633rd0.15253rd+20
havoc allowed by the front seven0.05819th0.07631st+12
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05879th0.076106th+27
average starting field position (yards from own goal)65.800126th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.