Michigan State · away
at
Final MSU 10 – 27 ND
Saturday 2026-09-19 19:30 · Notre Dame Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
ND pass rush10.2% 10810th12.7% 21214thfaces MSU10.2% 118130th10.2% ~3.4 sacks
MSU pass rush6.8% 10341st9.8% 22446thfaces ND0.9% 1135th3.8% ~1.3 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

MSU with the ball

MSU offence vs ND defenceMSU offenceND defencerank gap
points added per play0.033115th-0.11915th-100
success rate0.44465th0.34224th-41
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.082130th1.13837th-93
rush: points added per play-0.008117th-0.2298th-109
rush: success rate0.41595th0.30412th-83
rush: explosiveness0.848104th0.81230th-74
pass: points added per play0.15593rd-0.02126th-67
pass: success rate0.48341st0.37448th+7
pass: explosiveness1.347121st1.37825th-96
standard downs: success rate0.50555th0.39022nd-33
passing downs: success rate0.27898th0.25344th-54
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.92397th2.32116th-81
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.204108th0.223103rd-5
short-yardage conversion rate0.71490th0.73377th-13
points per trip inside the 403.346105th1.6252nd-103
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.192128th0.240135th+7
havoc allowed by the front seven0.128130th0.169134th+4
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06494th0.07199th+5
average starting field position (yards from own goal)68.300105th——

ND with the ball

ND offence vs MSU defenceND offenceMSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.33313th0.151103rd+90
success rate0.51613th0.42796th+83
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.116122nd1.23472nd-50
rush: points added per play0.14265th0.06081st+16
rush: success rate0.48238th0.455110th+72
rush: explosiveness0.795114th0.85442nd-72
pass: points added per play0.56311th0.21290th+79
pass: success rate0.55811th0.37953rd+42
pass: explosiveness1.45996th1.723114th+18
standard downs: success rate0.5996th0.48497th+91
passing downs: success rate0.214132nd0.30189th-43
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.94393rd2.75958th-35
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.15353rd0.260128th+75
short-yardage conversion rate0.76262nd0.63235th-27
points per trip inside the 405.2866th3.60086th+80
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.10116th0.15152nd+36
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0353rd0.09562nd+59
havoc allowed by the secondary0.066101st0.05658th-43
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.30044th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.