Duke · away
at
—
Saturday 2026-11-28 · time TBA · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Wake Forest · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
WAKE pass rush6.5% 15443rd10.0% 28941stfaces DUKE0.0% 721st3.2% ~1.1 sacks
DUKE pass rush4.7% 10779th6.7% 179113thfaces WAKE6.0% 13486th5.3% ~1.8 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

DUKE with the ball

DUKE offence vs WAKE defenceDUKE offenceWAKE defencerank gap
points added per play0.29524th0.160110th+86
success rate0.44663rd0.468127th+64
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.32728th1.05417th-11
rush: points added per play0.23430th0.04977th+47
rush: success rate0.42391st0.41278th-13
rush: explosiveness1.14414th0.87149th+35
pass: points added per play0.42727th0.25298th+71
pass: success rate0.47646th0.519136th+90
pass: explosiveness1.65944th1.0982nd-42
standard downs: success rate0.49269th0.511122nd+53
passing downs: success rate0.33755th0.346119th+64
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.32337th2.86570th+33
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16160th0.21393rd+33
short-yardage conversion rate0.75064th0.70060th-4
points per trip inside the 404.67726th3.38568th+42
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.0896th0.12822nd+16
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0434th0.09460th+56
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04653rd0.0348th-45
average starting field position (yards from own goal)67.900110th——

WAKE with the ball

WAKE offence vs DUKE defenceWAKE offenceDUKE defencerank gap
points added per play0.28031st-0.06427th-4
success rate0.45258th0.35332nd-26
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.30536th1.07120th-16
rush: points added per play0.13966th-0.20510th-56
rush: success rate0.46358th0.32321st-37
rush: explosiveness0.851103rd0.4393rd-100
pass: points added per play0.40029th0.02736th+7
pass: success rate0.43374th0.37447th-27
pass: explosiveness1.75226th1.45549th+23
standard downs: success rate0.48381st0.44464th-17
passing downs: success rate0.38623rd0.1833rd-20
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.13866th2.62347th-19
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.14643rd0.17240th-3
short-yardage conversion rate0.550129th0.70058th-71
points per trip inside the 403.73179th2.58822nd-57
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.12541st0.18399th+58
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08770th0.10681st+11
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03829th0.077108th+79
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.00046th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.