Duke · away
at
—
Saturday 2026-11-14 · time TBA · Hard Rock Stadium
Miami · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
MIA pass rush5.8% 12152nd8.0% 17687thfaces DUKE0.0% 721st2.9% ~1.0 sacks
DUKE pass rush4.7% 10779th6.7% 179113thfaces MIA2.9% 10525th3.8% ~1.2 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

DUKE with the ball

DUKE offence vs MIA defenceDUKE offenceMIA defencerank gap
points added per play0.29524th-0.04931st+7
success rate0.44663rd0.32514th-49
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.32728th1.14942nd+14
rush: points added per play0.23430th-0.15814th-16
rush: success rate0.42391st0.2571st-90
rush: explosiveness1.14414th0.71916th+2
pass: points added per play0.42727th0.02435th+8
pass: success rate0.47646th0.36235th-11
pass: explosiveness1.65944th1.30314th-30
standard downs: success rate0.49269th0.37917th-52
passing downs: success rate0.33755th0.22928th-27
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.32337th2.1537th-30
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16160th0.270130th+70
short-yardage conversion rate0.75064th0.57116th-48
points per trip inside the 404.67726th2.30815th-11
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.0896th0.16271st+65
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0434th0.09664th+60
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04653rd0.06687th+34
average starting field position (yards from own goal)67.900110th——

MIA with the ball

MIA offence vs DUKE defenceMIA offenceDUKE defencerank gap
points added per play0.4422nd-0.06427th+25
success rate0.5713rd0.35332nd+29
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.27850th1.07120th-30
rush: points added per play0.12372nd-0.20510th-62
rush: success rate0.51121st0.32321st0
rush: explosiveness0.98263rd0.4393rd-60
pass: points added per play0.8391st0.02736th+35
pass: success rate0.6541st0.37447th+46
pass: explosiveness1.48988th1.45549th-39
standard downs: success rate0.6302nd0.44464th+62
passing downs: success rate0.37529th0.1833rd-26
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.8874th2.62347th+43
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.12115th0.17240th+25
short-yardage conversion rate0.81231st0.70058th+27
points per trip inside the 405.05714th2.58822nd+8
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.0684th0.18399th+95
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0469th0.10681st+72
havoc allowed by the secondary0.0213rd0.077108th+105
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.00079th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.