Duke · away
at
—
Saturday 2026-11-07 · time TBA · Carter-Finley Stadium
NC State · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
NCSU pass rush2.3% 86120th4.9% 185135thfaces DUKE0.0% 721st1.2% ~0.4 sacks
DUKE pass rush4.7% 10779th6.7% 179113thfaces NCSU4.0% 10146th4.3% ~1.4 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

DUKE with the ball

DUKE offence vs NCSU defenceDUKE offenceNCSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.29524th0.12093rd+69
success rate0.44663rd0.39974th+11
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.32728th1.25082nd+54
rush: points added per play0.23430th0.06784th+54
rush: success rate0.42391st0.446106th+15
rush: explosiveness1.14414th0.96786th+72
pass: points added per play0.42727th0.270101st+74
pass: success rate0.47646th0.36642nd-4
pass: explosiveness1.65944th1.64399th+55
standard downs: success rate0.49269th0.45677th+8
passing downs: success rate0.33755th0.26454th-1
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.32337th2.82166th+29
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16160th0.19061st+1
short-yardage conversion rate0.75064th0.76290th+26
points per trip inside the 404.67726th3.59184th+58
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.0896th0.15254th+48
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0434th0.07017th+13
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04653rd0.082118th+65
average starting field position (yards from own goal)67.900110th——

NCSU with the ball

NCSU offence vs DUKE defenceNCSU offenceDUKE defencerank gap
points added per play0.22154th-0.06427th-27
success rate0.48833rd0.35332nd-1
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.20977th1.07120th-57
rush: points added per play0.21536th-0.20510th-26
rush: success rate0.49330th0.32321st-9
rush: explosiveness1.03741st0.4393rd-38
pass: points added per play0.25767th0.02736th-31
pass: success rate0.48439th0.37447th+8
pass: explosiveness1.406110th1.45549th-61
standard downs: success rate0.54830th0.44464th+34
passing downs: success rate0.34151st0.1833rd-48
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.29541st2.62347th+6
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.14947th0.17240th-7
short-yardage conversion rate0.84021st0.70058th+37
points per trip inside the 404.67925th2.58822nd-3
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15788th0.18399th+11
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09382nd0.10681st-1
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06495th0.077108th+13
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.90064th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.