Wake Forest · away
at
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Saturday 2026-10-17 · time TBA · California Memorial Stadium
California · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
CAL pass rush6.1% 9947th6.5% 201117thfaces WAKE6.0% 13486th6.0% ~2.0 sacks
WAKE pass rush6.5% 15443rd10.0% 28941stfaces CAL3.5% 11438th5.0% ~1.7 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

WAKE with the ball

WAKE offence vs CAL defenceWAKE offenceCAL defencerank gap
points added per play0.28031st0.01456th+25
success rate0.45258th0.36949th-9
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.30536th1.341109th+73
rush: points added per play0.13966th0.217129th+63
rush: success rate0.46358th0.42084th+26
rush: explosiveness0.851103rd1.122123rd+20
pass: points added per play0.40029th-0.09213th-16
pass: success rate0.43374th0.32015th-59
pass: explosiveness1.75226th1.644100th+74
standard downs: success rate0.48381st0.43156th-25
passing downs: success rate0.38623rd0.25545th+22
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.13866th3.160110th+44
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.14643rd0.14518th-25
short-yardage conversion rate0.550129th0.889130th+1
points per trip inside the 403.73179th2.61525th-54
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.12541st0.13127th-14
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08770th0.0635th-65
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03829th0.06789th+60
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.00046th——

CAL with the ball

CAL offence vs WAKE defenceCAL offenceWAKE defencerank gap
points added per play0.007120th0.160110th-10
success rate0.403102nd0.468127th+25
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.19388th1.05417th-71
rush: points added per play-0.056123rd0.04977th-46
rush: success rate0.376119th0.41278th-41
rush: explosiveness0.763124th0.87149th-75
pass: points added per play0.13198th0.25298th0
pass: success rate0.42977th0.519136th+59
pass: explosiveness1.47492nd1.0982nd-90
standard downs: success rate0.459101st0.511122nd+21
passing downs: success rate0.29091st0.346119th+28
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.819108th2.86570th-38
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.205109th0.21393rd-16
short-yardage conversion rate0.667102nd0.70060th-42
points per trip inside the 402.720127th3.38568th-59
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.169107th0.12822nd-85
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09483rd0.09460th-23
havoc allowed by the secondary0.076120th0.0348th-112
average starting field position (yards from own goal)73.70022nd——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.