North Carolina · away
at
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Saturday 2026-10-17 · time TBA · Wallace Wade Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
DUKE pass rush4.7% 10779th6.7% 179113thfaces UNC9.5% 63123rd7.1% ~2.3 sacks
UNC pass rush7.5% 6729th9.0% 13362ndfaces DUKE0.0% 721st3.7% ~1.2 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

UNC with the ball

UNC offence vs DUKE defenceUNC offenceDUKE defencerank gap
points added per play0.11886th-0.06427th-59
success rate0.48435th0.35332nd-3
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.038134th1.07120th-114
rush: points added per play0.12471st-0.20510th-61
rush: success rate0.53410th0.32321st+11
rush: explosiveness0.706130th0.4393rd-127
pass: points added per play0.14894th0.02736th-58
pass: success rate0.42284th0.37447th-37
pass: explosiveness1.45299th1.45549th-50
standard downs: success rate0.53238th0.44464th+26
passing downs: success rate0.37530th0.1833rd-27
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.8725th2.62347th+42
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.12520th0.17240th+20
short-yardage conversion rate0.77851st0.70058th+7
points per trip inside the 404.00065th2.58822nd-43
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13251st0.18399th+48
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08256th0.10681st+25
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04962nd0.077108th+46
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.00080th——

DUKE with the ball

DUKE offence vs UNC defenceDUKE offenceUNC defencerank gap
points added per play0.29524th-0.01941st+17
success rate0.44663rd0.39369th+6
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.32728th1.0248th-20
rush: points added per play0.23430th0.05880th+50
rush: success rate0.42391st0.42990th-1
rush: explosiveness1.14414th0.82732nd+18
pass: points added per play0.42727th0.02737th+10
pass: success rate0.47646th0.37649th+3
pass: explosiveness1.65944th1.2426th-38
standard downs: success rate0.49269th0.47187th+18
passing downs: success rate0.33755th0.22725th-30
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.32337th2.94088th+51
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16160th0.1227th-53
short-yardage conversion rate0.75064th0.875129th+65
points per trip inside the 404.67726th2.68829th+3
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.0896th0.14140th+34
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0434th0.09765th+61
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04653rd0.04428th-25
average starting field position (yards from own goal)67.900110th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.