Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). VT wins about 96% of the time at a number like ours.
ODU
Games
4
Plays per game
59.8
Drives per game
13.0
SP+
-7.9 (101st, offence 117th, defence 73rd)
Returning production
9% (pass -2%, rush 10%, receiving 18%)
VT
Games
4
Plays per game
79.0
Drives per game
11.8
SP+
12.3 (28th, offence 27th, defence 30th)
Returning production
37% (pass 0%, rush 31%, receiving 54%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
ODU
VT
pass rate, all downs
47%75th
51%50th
pass rate, standard downs
39%92nd
43%54th
pass rate, 1st down
42%72nd
42%75th
no-huddle share
86%30th
40%90th
pass rate, red zone
30%110th
42%53rd
pass rate, passing downs
60%88th
70%36th
seconds per play (own drives)
28.973rd
26.1120th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
ODU offence
ODU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.100
239
135 of 138
success rate
0.310
239
138 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.483
239
5 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.076
239
126 of 138
rush: success rate
0.331
239
136 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.298
239
4 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.137
239
136 of 138
pass: success rate
0.290
239
136 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.677
239
37 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.299
239
138 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.326
239
63 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
1.613
239
138 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.315
239
138 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.300
239
137 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.913
239
124 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.243
239
138 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.205
239
138 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.038
239
25 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
71.100
239
61 of 138
VT offence
VT offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.241
316
42 of 138
success rate
0.484
316
36 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.205
316
82 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.149
316
60 of 138
rush: success rate
0.503
316
23 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.971
316
69 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.357
316
46 of 138
pass: success rate
0.471
316
51 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.475
316
91 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.504
316
57 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.427
316
9 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.994
316
88 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.200
316
103 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.750
316
73 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.567
316
35 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.111
316
25 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.089
316
76 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.022
316
5 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
66.400
316
123 of 138
ODU defence
ODU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.017
298
44 of 138
success rate
0.339
298
21 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.242
298
79 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.106
298
25 of 138
rush: success rate
0.318
298
18 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.963
298
85 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.102
298
61 of 138
pass: success rate
0.361
298
33 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.578
298
81 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.368
298
13 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.286
298
78 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.389
298
24 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.223
298
104 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.619
298
30 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.333
298
66 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.164
298
76 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.128
298
116 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.037
298
11 of 138
opponent average starting field position
66.000
298
4 of 138
VT defence
VT defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.030
236
38 of 138
success rate
0.331
236
18 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.309
236
99 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.147
236
17 of 138
rush: success rate
0.269
236
6 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.306
236
135 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.142
236
73 of 138
pass: success rate
0.391
236
70 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.340
236
19 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.413
236
39 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.204
236
12 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
0.986
236
1 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.403
236
138 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.571
236
18 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.522
236
19 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.267
236
138 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.220
236
138 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.047
236
35 of 138
opponent average starting field position
72.100
236
71 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs