Auburn · away
at
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Saturday 2026-11-14 · time TBA · Davis Wade Stadium
Mississippi State · home
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
MSST pass rush5.5% 16560th8.8% 28572ndfaces AUB9.7% 144127th7.6% ~2.5 sacks
AUB pass rush6.5% 15342nd10.3% 30237thfaces MSST5.1% 13670th5.8% ~1.9 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

AUB with the ball

AUB offence vs MSST defenceAUB offenceMSST defencerank gap
points added per play0.11984th0.01859th-25
success rate0.42884th0.37355th-29
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.26852nd1.14339th-13
rush: points added per play0.18742nd-0.00855th+13
rush: success rate0.46456th0.35839th-17
rush: explosiveness0.98960th0.72017th-43
pass: points added per play0.14295th0.06750th-45
pass: success rate0.40198th0.38864th-34
pass: explosiveness1.58362nd1.44143rd-19
standard downs: success rate0.451106th0.43759th-47
passing downs: success rate0.37827th0.22120th-7
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.27845th2.91182nd+37
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.15249th0.15830th-19
short-yardage conversion rate0.86711th0.60024th+13
points per trip inside the 404.12058th3.16758th0
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15181st0.18297th+16
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09893rd0.08241st-52
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05366th0.099130th+64
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.60038th——

MSST with the ball

MSST offence vs AUB defenceMSST offenceAUB defencerank gap
points added per play0.3839th-0.00946th+37
success rate0.51216th0.37558th+42
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.32031st1.21465th+34
rush: points added per play0.32710th-0.01850th+40
rush: success rate0.5448th0.35838th+30
rush: explosiveness1.01751st0.92472nd+21
pass: points added per play0.53115th0.12869th+54
pass: success rate0.50030th0.41480th+50
pass: explosiveness1.68636th1.49457th+21
standard downs: success rate0.54332nd0.41744th+12
passing downs: success rate0.4328th0.27765th+57
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.34434th2.56939th+5
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.201104th0.18553rd-51
short-yardage conversion rate0.82426th0.68253rd+27
points per trip inside the 404.64528th3.50078th+50
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11935th0.15556th+21
havoc allowed by the front seven0.06726th0.10174th+48
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05265th0.05447th-18
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.80047th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.