Baylor · away
at
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Saturday 2026-11-28 · time TBA · TDECU Stadium
Houston · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
HOU pass rush5.7% 12253rd7.1% 197103rdfaces BAY3.3% 12037th4.5% ~1.5 sacks
BAY pass rush7.7% 13027th14.7% 2315thfaces HOU3.2% 9432nd5.4% ~1.8 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

BAY with the ball

BAY offence vs HOU defenceBAY offenceHOU defencerank gap
points added per play0.09298th0.09985th-13
success rate0.401104th0.39470th-34
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.26355th1.360112th+57
rush: points added per play0.05590th-0.09528th-62
rush: success rate0.44475th0.34734th-41
rush: explosiveness0.86297th0.83935th-62
pass: points added per play0.17787th0.303112th+25
pass: success rate0.373113th0.443106th-7
pass: explosiveness1.75623rd1.651101st+78
standard downs: success rate0.449109th0.45173rd-36
passing downs: success rate0.29888th0.28068th-20
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.93895th2.31815th-80
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16973rd0.21494th+21
short-yardage conversion rate0.73777th0.64338th-39
points per trip inside the 403.393100th4.812130th+30
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.167102nd0.211126th+24
havoc allowed by the front seven0.103102nd0.09868th-34
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06492nd0.114137th+45
average starting field position (yards from own goal)64.200133rd——

HOU with the ball

HOU offence vs BAY defenceHOU offenceBAY defencerank gap
points added per play0.4393rd-0.11516th+13
success rate0.5792nd0.32112th+10
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.123118th1.13938th-80
rush: points added per play0.30713th-0.2575th-8
rush: success rate0.5782nd0.2808th+6
rush: explosiveness0.796112th0.97088th-24
pass: points added per play0.6395th-0.02525th+20
pass: success rate0.5933rd0.34423rd+20
pass: explosiveness1.58063rd1.2849th-54
standard downs: success rate0.5817th0.3619th+2
passing downs: success rate0.5691st0.25243rd+42
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.9043rd2.50331st+28
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.0995th0.264129th+124
short-yardage conversion rate0.85713th0.4004th-9
points per trip inside the 405.12911th1.9585th-6
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.10015th0.214127th+112
havoc allowed by the front seven0.05716th0.138122nd+106
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04345th0.076105th+60
average starting field position (yards from own goal)65.300129th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.