Iowa State · away
at
—
Friday 2026-11-20 18:00 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
UCF · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
UCF pass rush5.7% 12354th10.1% 21940thfaces ISU2.6% 7816th4.1% ~1.4 sacks
ISU pass rush1.3% 80132nd8.8% 17069thfaces UCF4.2% 7153rd2.7% ~0.9 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

ISU with the ball

ISU offence vs UCF defenceISU offenceUCF defencerank gap
points added per play0.11787th-0.04732nd-55
success rate0.382119th0.34325th-94
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.33425th1.27591st+66
rush: points added per play0.10576th-0.11923rd-53
rush: success rate0.387114th0.30714th-100
rush: explosiveness1.19110th0.87250th+40
pass: points added per play0.20578th0.07756th-22
pass: success rate0.40296th0.38560th-36
pass: explosiveness1.54670th1.59587th+17
standard downs: success rate0.421127th0.40031st-96
passing downs: success rate0.29986th0.24839th-47
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.99390th2.29113th-77
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.19092nd0.241114th+22
short-yardage conversion rate0.583122nd0.62534th-88
points per trip inside the 404.63629th2.30414th-15
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.170109th0.17382nd-27
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08357th0.11192nd+35
havoc allowed by the secondary0.087133rd0.06273rd-60
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.10060th——

UCF with the ball

UCF offence vs ISU defenceUCF offenceISU defencerank gap
points added per play0.11985th-0.03835th-50
success rate0.43676th0.37051st-25
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.20681st1.09325th-56
rush: points added per play0.18046th-0.08231st-15
rush: success rate0.44574th0.37449th-25
rush: explosiveness1.16512th0.86444th+32
pass: points added per play0.053113th0.06952nd-61
pass: success rate0.42679th0.36234th-45
pass: explosiveness1.278130th1.43941st-89
standard downs: success rate0.49467th0.46785th+18
passing downs: success rate0.29987th0.1581st-86
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.05280th2.57640th-40
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.17278th0.19875th-3
short-yardage conversion rate0.80041st0.70059th+18
points per trip inside the 404.76921st2.0486th-15
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13765th0.17786th+21
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09792nd0.128115th+23
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04034th0.04938th+4
average starting field position (yards from own goal)63.200136th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.