Iowa State · away
at
—
Saturday 2026-11-07 · time TBA · McLane Stadium
Baylor · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
BAY pass rush7.7% 13027th14.7% 2315thfaces ISU2.6% 7816th5.1% ~1.7 sacks
ISU pass rush1.3% 80132nd8.8% 17069thfaces BAY3.3% 12037th2.3% ~0.8 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

ISU with the ball

ISU offence vs BAY defenceISU offenceBAY defencerank gap
points added per play0.11787th-0.11516th-71
success rate0.382119th0.32112th-107
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.33425th1.13938th+13
rush: points added per play0.10576th-0.2575th-71
rush: success rate0.387114th0.2808th-106
rush: explosiveness1.19110th0.97088th+78
pass: points added per play0.20578th-0.02525th-53
pass: success rate0.40296th0.34423rd-73
pass: explosiveness1.54670th1.2849th-61
standard downs: success rate0.421127th0.3619th-118
passing downs: success rate0.29986th0.25243rd-43
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.99390th2.50331st-59
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.19092nd0.264129th+37
short-yardage conversion rate0.583122nd0.4004th-118
points per trip inside the 404.63629th1.9585th-24
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.170109th0.214127th+18
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08357th0.138122nd+65
havoc allowed by the secondary0.087133rd0.076105th-28
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.10060th——

BAY with the ball

BAY offence vs ISU defenceBAY offenceISU defencerank gap
points added per play0.09298th-0.03835th-63
success rate0.401104th0.37051st-53
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.26355th1.09325th-30
rush: points added per play0.05590th-0.08231st-59
rush: success rate0.44475th0.37449th-26
rush: explosiveness0.86297th0.86444th-53
pass: points added per play0.17787th0.06952nd-35
pass: success rate0.373113th0.36234th-79
pass: explosiveness1.75623rd1.43941st+18
standard downs: success rate0.449109th0.46785th-24
passing downs: success rate0.29888th0.1581st-87
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.93895th2.57640th-55
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16973rd0.19875th+2
short-yardage conversion rate0.73777th0.70059th-18
points per trip inside the 403.393100th2.0486th-94
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.167102nd0.17786th-16
havoc allowed by the front seven0.103102nd0.128115th+13
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06492nd0.04938th-54
average starting field position (yards from own goal)64.200133rd——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.