Cincinnati · away
at
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Saturday 2026-11-07 · time TBA · TDECU Stadium
Houston · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
HOU pass rush5.7% 12253rd7.1% 197103rdfaces CIN5.3% 7671st5.5% ~1.8 sacks
CIN pass rush3.5% 11698th8.0% 20185thfaces HOU3.2% 9432nd3.3% ~1.1 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

CIN with the ball

CIN offence vs HOU defenceCIN offenceHOU defencerank gap
points added per play0.36311th0.09985th+74
success rate0.49627th0.39470th+43
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.30535th1.360112th+77
rush: points added per play0.3614th-0.09528th+24
rush: success rate0.49726th0.34734th+8
rush: explosiveness1.2248th0.83935th+27
pass: points added per play0.38534th0.303112th+78
pass: success rate0.50926th0.443106th+80
pass: explosiveness1.432105th1.651101st-4
standard downs: success rate0.56017th0.45173rd+56
passing downs: success rate0.33853rd0.28068th+15
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.67711th2.31815th+4
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.13226th0.21494th+68
short-yardage conversion rate0.83322nd0.64338th+16
points per trip inside the 405.2008th4.812130th+122
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.10720th0.211126th+106
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09688th0.09868th-20
havoc allowed by the secondary0.0112nd0.114137th+135
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.20095th——

HOU with the ball

HOU offence vs CIN defenceHOU offenceCIN defencerank gap
points added per play0.4393rd0.10288th+85
success rate0.5792nd0.41587th+85
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.123118th1.20560th-58
rush: points added per play0.30713th0.113102nd+89
rush: success rate0.5782nd0.482129th+127
rush: explosiveness0.796112th0.82833rd-79
pass: points added per play0.6395th0.22093rd+88
pass: success rate0.5933rd0.37851st+48
pass: explosiveness1.58063rd1.56575th+12
standard downs: success rate0.5817th0.46280th+73
passing downs: success rate0.5691st0.318105th+104
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.9043rd3.217115th+112
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.0995th0.17944th+39
short-yardage conversion rate0.85713th0.66745th+32
points per trip inside the 405.12911th3.947108th+97
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.10015th0.16374th+59
havoc allowed by the front seven0.05716th0.10784th+68
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04345th0.05654th+9
average starting field position (yards from own goal)65.300129th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.