TCU · away
at
Final TCU 13 – 21 UCF
Saturday 2026-09-26 15:30 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
UCF · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
UCF pass rush5.7% 12354th10.1% 21940thfaces TCU6.7% 10593rd6.2% ~2.0 sacks
TCU pass rush7.8% 7724th6.8% 161111thfaces UCF4.2% 7153rd6.0% ~2.0 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

TCU with the ball

TCU offence vs UCF defenceTCU offenceUCF defencerank gap
points added per play0.17464th-0.04732nd-32
success rate0.46251st0.34325th-26
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.24062nd1.27591st+29
rush: points added per play0.030104th-0.11923rd-81
rush: success rate0.47051st0.30714th-37
rush: explosiveness0.771120th0.87250th-70
pass: points added per play0.31953rd0.07756th+3
pass: success rate0.46452nd0.38560th+8
pass: explosiveness1.66441st1.59587th+46
standard downs: success rate0.5739th0.40031st+22
passing downs: success rate0.218130th0.24839th-91
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.03084th2.29113th-71
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16463rd0.241114th+51
short-yardage conversion rate0.84219th0.62534th+15
points per trip inside the 403.43399th2.30414th-85
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13359th0.17382nd+23
havoc allowed by the front seven0.104106th0.11192nd-14
havoc allowed by the secondary0.02912th0.06273rd+61
average starting field position (yards from own goal)67.500113th——

UCF with the ball

UCF offence vs TCU defenceUCF offenceTCU defencerank gap
points added per play0.11985th-0.12114th-71
success rate0.43676th0.36847th-29
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.20681st0.9251st-80
rush: points added per play0.18046th-0.2863rd-43
rush: success rate0.44574th0.31617th-57
rush: explosiveness1.16512th0.4614th-8
pass: points added per play0.053113th0.07254th-59
pass: success rate0.42679th0.41785th+6
pass: explosiveness1.278130th1.35921st-109
standard downs: success rate0.49467th0.40835th-32
passing downs: success rate0.29987th0.28272nd-15
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.05280th2.54435th-45
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.17278th0.21190th+12
short-yardage conversion rate0.80041st0.56215th-26
points per trip inside the 404.76921st3.00049th+28
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13765th0.17994th+29
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09792nd0.117105th+13
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04034th0.06377th+43
average starting field position (yards from own goal)63.200136th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.