Arkansas State · away
at
Final ARST 7 – 31 TCU
Saturday 2026-09-19 20:00 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
TCU · home
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
TCU pass rush7.8% 7724th6.8% 161111thfaces ARST6.7% 9095th7.2% ~2.4 sacks
ARST pass rush2.9% 70110th7.2% 193101stfaces TCU6.7% 10593rd4.8% ~1.6 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

ARST with the ball

ARST offence vs TCU defenceARST offenceTCU defencerank gap
points added per play0.15272nd-0.12114th-58
success rate0.48534th0.36847th+13
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.147109th0.9251st-108
rush: points added per play0.23729th-0.2863rd-26
rush: success rate0.50422nd0.31617th-5
rush: explosiveness0.96272nd0.4614th-68
pass: points added per play0.124102nd0.07254th-48
pass: success rate0.47248th0.41785th+37
pass: explosiveness1.402113th1.35921st-92
standard downs: success rate0.55523rd0.40835th+12
passing downs: success rate0.29090th0.28272nd-18
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.37130th2.54435th+5
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.14642nd0.21190th+48
short-yardage conversion rate0.73974th0.56215th-59
points per trip inside the 403.43596th3.00049th-47
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14067th0.17994th+27
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07236th0.117105th+69
havoc allowed by the secondary0.068106th0.06377th-29
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.70085th——

TCU with the ball

TCU offence vs ARST defenceTCU offenceARST defencerank gap
points added per play0.17464th0.161111th+47
success rate0.46251st0.453120th+69
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.24062nd1.24480th+18
rush: points added per play0.030104th0.02568th-36
rush: success rate0.47051st0.463116th+65
rush: explosiveness0.771120th0.89060th-60
pass: points added per play0.31953rd0.462133rd+80
pass: success rate0.46452nd0.455110th+58
pass: explosiveness1.66441st1.804121st+80
standard downs: success rate0.5739th0.500112th+103
passing downs: success rate0.218130th0.329110th-20
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.03084th3.389126th+42
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16463rd0.13616th-47
short-yardage conversion rate0.84219th0.76289th+70
points per trip inside the 403.43399th3.47676th-23
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13359th0.12516th-43
havoc allowed by the front seven0.104106th0.07016th-90
havoc allowed by the secondary0.02912th0.05551st+39
average starting field position (yards from own goal)67.500113th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.