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Final null 3 – 44 BAY
Saturday 2026-09-12 20:08 · McLane Stadium
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The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

BAY

Games4
Plays per game82.2
Drives per game13.8
SP+8.1 (43rd, offence 55th, defence 31st)
Returning production60% (pass 78%, rush 68%, receiving 47%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceBAY
pass rate, all downs—51%47th
pass rate, standard downs—40%83rd
pass rate, 1st down—40%94th
no-huddle share—99%1st
pass rate, passing downs—75%17th
pass rate, red zone—46%31st
seconds per play (own drives)—23.3136th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

BAY offence

BAY offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.09232998 of 138
success rate0.401329104 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.26332955 of 138
rush: points added per play0.05532990 of 138
rush: success rate0.44432975 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.86232997 of 138
pass: points added per play0.17732987 of 138
pass: success rate0.373329113 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.75632923 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.449329109 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.29832988 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.93832995 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16932973 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.73732977 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.393329100 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.167329102 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.103329102 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06432992 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)64.200329133 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

BAY defence

BAY defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.11529016 of 138
success rate0.32129012 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.13929038 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.2572905 of 138
rush: success rate0.2802908 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.97029088 of 138
pass: points added per play-0.02529025 of 138
pass: success rate0.34429023 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.2842909 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.3612909 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.25229043 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.50329031 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.264290129 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.4002904 of 138
points per trip inside the 401.9582905 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.214290127 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.138290122 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.076290105 of 138
opponent average starting field position71.10029051 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs