North Carolina · neutral site
vs
Final UNC 15 – 10 TCU
Saturday 2026-08-29 12:00 · Aviva Stadium
TCU · neutral site
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
TCU pass rush7.8% 7724th6.8% 161111thfaces UNC9.5% 63123rd8.7% ~2.9 sacks
UNC pass rush7.5% 6729th9.0% 13362ndfaces TCU6.7% 10593rd7.1% ~2.3 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

UNC with the ball

UNC offence vs TCU defenceUNC offenceTCU defencerank gap
points added per play0.11886th-0.12114th-72
success rate0.48435th0.36847th+12
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.038134th0.9251st-133
rush: points added per play0.12471st-0.2863rd-68
rush: success rate0.53410th0.31617th+7
rush: explosiveness0.706130th0.4614th-126
pass: points added per play0.14894th0.07254th-40
pass: success rate0.42284th0.41785th+1
pass: explosiveness1.45299th1.35921st-78
standard downs: success rate0.53238th0.40835th-3
passing downs: success rate0.37530th0.28272nd+42
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.8725th2.54435th+30
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.12520th0.21190th+70
short-yardage conversion rate0.77851st0.56215th-36
points per trip inside the 404.00065th3.00049th-16
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13251st0.17994th+43
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08256th0.117105th+49
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04962nd0.06377th+15
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.00080th——

TCU with the ball

TCU offence vs UNC defenceTCU offenceUNC defencerank gap
points added per play0.17464th-0.01941st-23
success rate0.46251st0.39369th+18
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.24062nd1.0248th-54
rush: points added per play0.030104th0.05880th-24
rush: success rate0.47051st0.42990th+39
rush: explosiveness0.771120th0.82732nd-88
pass: points added per play0.31953rd0.02737th-16
pass: success rate0.46452nd0.37649th-3
pass: explosiveness1.66441st1.2426th-35
standard downs: success rate0.5739th0.47187th+78
passing downs: success rate0.218130th0.22725th-105
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.03084th2.94088th+4
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16463rd0.1227th-56
short-yardage conversion rate0.84219th0.875129th+110
points per trip inside the 403.43399th2.68829th-70
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13359th0.14140th-19
havoc allowed by the front seven0.104106th0.09765th-41
havoc allowed by the secondary0.02912th0.04428th+16
average starting field position (yards from own goal)67.500113th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.