Mississippi State · away
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Friday 2026-11-27 12:00 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
MISS pass rush5.3% 11364th9.2% 27359thfaces MSST5.1% 13670th5.2% ~1.7 sacks
MSST pass rush5.5% 16560th8.8% 28572ndfaces MISS1.9% 15610th3.7% ~1.2 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

MSST with the ball

MSST offence vs MISS defenceMSST offenceMISS defencerank gap
points added per play0.3839th0.225126th+117
success rate0.51216th0.471128th+112
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.32031st1.14540th+9
rush: points added per play0.32710th0.177123rd+113
rush: success rate0.5448th0.478128th+120
rush: explosiveness1.01751st0.95281st+30
pass: points added per play0.53115th0.302111th+96
pass: success rate0.50030th0.450108th+78
pass: explosiveness1.68636th1.48053rd+17
standard downs: success rate0.54332nd0.540134th+102
passing downs: success rate0.4328th0.29586th+78
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.34434th2.90076th+42
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.201104th0.21799th-5
short-yardage conversion rate0.82426th0.818113th+87
points per trip inside the 404.64528th4.000112th+84
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11935th0.13025th-10
havoc allowed by the front seven0.06726th0.08748th+22
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05265th0.04326th-39
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.80047th——

MISS with the ball

MISS offence vs MSST defenceMISS offenceMSST defencerank gap
points added per play0.25238th0.01859th+21
success rate0.5188th0.37355th+47
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.162102nd1.14339th-63
rush: points added per play0.15456th-0.00855th-1
rush: success rate0.51817th0.35839th+22
rush: explosiveness0.89485th0.72017th-68
pass: points added per play0.43525th0.06750th+25
pass: success rate0.52616th0.38864th+48
pass: explosiveness1.400116th1.44143rd-73
standard downs: success rate0.56813th0.43759th+46
passing downs: success rate0.37131st0.22120th-11
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.93596th2.91182nd-14
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.17581st0.15830th-51
short-yardage conversion rate0.76063rd0.60024th-39
points per trip inside the 404.75023rd3.16758th+35
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.12744th0.18297th+53
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07237th0.08241st+4
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05471st0.099130th+59
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.70037th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.