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Saturday 2026-10-31 · time TBA · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
TEX pass rush9.4% 12815th12.8% 25012thfaces MSST5.1% 13670th7.3% ~2.4 sacks
MSST pass rush5.5% 16560th8.8% 28572ndfaces TEX7.5% 133103rd6.5% ~2.1 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

MSST with the ball

MSST offence vs TEX defenceMSST offenceTEX defencerank gap
points added per play0.3839th-0.05629th+20
success rate0.51216th0.35029th+13
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.32031st1.09427th-4
rush: points added per play0.32710th-0.07433rd+23
rush: success rate0.5448th0.36543rd+35
rush: explosiveness1.01751st0.79126th-25
pass: points added per play0.53115th-0.03322nd+7
pass: success rate0.50030th0.33118th-12
pass: explosiveness1.68636th1.43236th0
standard downs: success rate0.54332nd0.39726th-6
passing downs: success rate0.4328th0.24738th+30
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.34434th2.55437th+3
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.201104th0.19876th-28
short-yardage conversion rate0.82426th0.73378th+52
points per trip inside the 404.64528th2.19010th-18
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11935th0.206124th+89
havoc allowed by the front seven0.06726th0.141126th+100
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05265th0.06584th+19
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.80047th——

TEX with the ball

TEX offence vs MSST defenceTEX offenceMSST defencerank gap
points added per play0.11090th0.01859th-31
success rate0.45556th0.37355th-1
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.143112th1.14339th-73
rush: points added per play0.04795th-0.00855th-40
rush: success rate0.45865th0.35839th-26
rush: explosiveness0.790117th0.72017th-100
pass: points added per play0.28063rd0.06750th-13
pass: success rate0.46254th0.38864th+10
pass: explosiveness1.56266th1.44143rd-23
standard downs: success rate0.50062nd0.43759th-3
passing downs: success rate0.36239th0.22120th-19
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.818109th2.91182nd-27
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.18390th0.15830th-60
short-yardage conversion rate0.75071st0.60024th-47
points per trip inside the 404.25054th3.16758th+4
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.171111th0.18297th-14
havoc allowed by the front seven0.130131st0.08241st-90
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04137th0.099130th+93
average starting field position (yards from own goal)67.900111th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.