Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). TEX wins about 76% of the time at a number like ours.
TEX
Games
4
Plays per game
72.5
Drives per game
11.0
SP+
22.4 (7th, offence 16th, defence 5th)
Returning production
72% (pass 85%, rush 126%, receiving 55%)
OU
Games
4
Plays per game
63.8
Drives per game
11.8
SP+
12.8 (27th, offence 75th, defence 5th)
Returning production
63% (pass 92%, rush 122%, receiving 42%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
TEX
OU
pass rate, all downs
47%76th
48%68th
pass rate, standard downs
39%94th
41%78th
pass rate, 1st down
42%71st
37%106th
no-huddle share
91%21st
28%104th
pass rate, passing downs
64%64th
65%59th
pass rate, red zone
43%48th
38%68th
seconds per play (own drives)
28.578th
29.167th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
TEX offence
TEX offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.110
290
90 of 138
success rate
0.455
290
56 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.143
290
112 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.047
290
95 of 138
rush: success rate
0.458
290
65 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.790
290
117 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.280
290
63 of 138
pass: success rate
0.462
290
54 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.562
290
66 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.500
290
62 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.362
290
39 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.818
290
109 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.183
290
90 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.750
290
71 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.250
290
54 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.171
290
111 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.130
290
131 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.041
290
37 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
67.900
290
111 of 138
OU offence
OU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.045
255
129 of 138
success rate
0.392
255
113 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.112
255
123 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.260
255
137 of 138
rush: success rate
0.362
255
125 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.542
255
138 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.293
255
58 of 138
pass: success rate
0.431
255
75 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.714
255
31 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.432
255
123 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.304
255
77 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.603
255
126 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.223
255
124 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.462
255
136 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.389
255
102 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.157
255
89 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.118
255
123 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.039
255
33 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
72.400
255
42 of 138
TEX defence
TEX defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.056
260
29 of 138
success rate
0.350
260
29 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.094
260
27 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.074
260
33 of 138
rush: success rate
0.365
260
43 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.791
260
26 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.033
260
22 of 138
pass: success rate
0.331
260
18 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.432
260
36 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.397
260
26 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.247
260
38 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.554
260
37 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.198
260
76 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.733
260
78 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.190
260
10 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.206
260
124 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.141
260
126 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.065
260
84 of 138
opponent average starting field position
72.700
260
85 of 138
OU defence
OU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.182
227
2 of 138
success rate
0.304
227
6 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.235
227
74 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.104
227
27 of 138
rush: success rate
0.287
227
10 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.171
227
129 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.162
227
4 of 138
pass: success rate
0.337
227
22 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.322
227
16 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.333
227
4 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.247
227
37 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.364
227
20 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.194
227
70 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.583
227
21 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.083
227
8 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.216
227
128 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.145
227
128 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.070
227
96 of 138
opponent average starting field position
66.100
227
5 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs