Missouri · away
at
Final MIZ 24 – 31 MSST
Saturday 2026-09-26 19:45 · Davis Wade Stadium
Mississippi State · home
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
MSST pass rush5.5% 16560th8.8% 28572ndfaces MIZ2.2% 9214th3.8% ~1.3 sacks
MIZ pass rush7.3% 10931st9.5% 21151stfaces MSST5.1% 13670th6.2% ~2.1 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

MIZ with the ball

MIZ offence vs MSST defenceMIZ offenceMSST defencerank gap
points added per play0.19960th0.01859th-1
success rate0.43675th0.37355th-20
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.23864th1.14339th-25
rush: points added per play0.04298th-0.00855th-43
rush: success rate0.400104th0.35839th-65
rush: explosiveness0.768121st0.72017th-104
pass: points added per play0.45923rd0.06750th+27
pass: success rate0.47249th0.38864th+15
pass: explosiveness1.67238th1.44143rd+5
standard downs: success rate0.48479th0.43759th-20
passing downs: success rate0.33057th0.22120th-37
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.09971st2.91182nd+11
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.17276th0.15830th-46
short-yardage conversion rate0.69296th0.60024th-72
points per trip inside the 403.72280th3.16758th-22
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.168106th0.18297th-9
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08668th0.08241st-27
havoc allowed by the secondary0.082128th0.099130th+2
average starting field position (yards from own goal)61.500137th——

MSST with the ball

MSST offence vs MIZ defenceMSST offenceMIZ defencerank gap
points added per play0.3839th-0.00448th+39
success rate0.51216th0.35436th+20
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.32031st1.412126th+95
rush: points added per play0.32710th-0.00258th+48
rush: success rate0.5448th0.36341st+33
rush: explosiveness1.01751st1.074111th+60
pass: points added per play0.53115th0.07153rd+38
pass: success rate0.50030th0.35127th-3
pass: explosiveness1.68636th1.696109th+73
standard downs: success rate0.54332nd0.40030th-2
passing downs: success rate0.4328th0.28373rd+65
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.34434th2.48128th-6
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.201104th0.244117th+13
short-yardage conversion rate0.82426th0.867126th+100
points per trip inside the 404.64528th3.26362nd+34
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11935th0.221130th+95
havoc allowed by the front seven0.06726th0.133118th+92
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05265th0.089126th+61
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.80047th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.