Louisville · neutral site
vs
Final LOU 38 – 41 MISS
Sunday 2026-09-06 19:30 · Nissan Stadium
Ole Miss · neutral site
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
MISS pass rush5.3% 11364th9.2% 27359thfaces LOU7.4% 94102nd6.4% ~2.1 sacks
LOU pass rush5.2% 9666th6.5% 214115thfaces MISS1.9% 15610th3.6% ~1.2 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

LOU with the ball

LOU offence vs MISS defenceLOU offenceMISS defencerank gap
points added per play0.34412th0.225126th+114
success rate0.50024th0.471128th+104
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.35323rd1.14540th+17
rush: points added per play0.20339th0.177123rd+84
rush: success rate0.48635th0.478128th+93
rush: explosiveness1.03443rd0.95281st+38
pass: points added per play0.48718th0.302111th+93
pass: success rate0.51623rd0.450108th+85
pass: explosiveness1.66343rd1.48053rd+10
standard downs: success rate0.56316th0.540134th+118
passing downs: success rate0.32464th0.29586th+22
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.809111th2.90076th-35
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.19496th0.21799th+3
short-yardage conversion rate0.72284th0.818113th+29
points per trip inside the 404.39340th4.000112th+72
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14170th0.13025th-45
havoc allowed by the front seven0.111114th0.08748th-66
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03013th0.04326th+13
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.80082nd——

MISS with the ball

MISS offence vs LOU defenceMISS offenceLOU defencerank gap
points added per play0.25238th0.10689th+51
success rate0.5188th0.40275th+67
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.162102nd1.23876th-26
rush: points added per play0.15456th-0.01553rd-3
rush: success rate0.51817th0.43092nd+75
rush: explosiveness0.89485th0.71015th-70
pass: points added per play0.43525th0.378124th+99
pass: success rate0.52616th0.38158th+42
pass: explosiveness1.400116th1.964136th+20
standard downs: success rate0.56813th0.45576th+63
passing downs: success rate0.37131st0.27461st+30
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.93596th3.02198th+2
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.17581st0.1216th-75
short-yardage conversion rate0.76063rd0.51711th-52
points per trip inside the 404.75023rd3.61587th+64
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.12744th0.13633rd-11
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07237th0.07323rd-14
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05471st0.06374th+3
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.70037th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.