Win chance
FLA winsDraftKings 47%Ours 51%
ANA winsours is 4.1 pts toward ANA
Grey dot: DraftKings · gold: our composite · small dots: Kalshi, DRatings and Paine Elo (hover to see which). A gap is a reason to look, not to bet.
Who wins
| Source | ANA wins | FLA wins | Basis |
|---|
| DraftKings | 46.8% | 53.3% | moneyline -125 / +105, margin removed |
| Pinnacle | — | — | not posted yet |
| Kalshi | 48.0% | 52.0% | winner market, bid/ask midpoint, locked before puck drop |
| Composite ours | 50.9% | 49.1% | xG share + goalie + special teams + rest · goalies: most starts this season / most starts last season |
| DRatings public model | — | — | not published yet |
| Neil Paine Elo public model | — | — | not published for this game |
The pickers see DraftKings, Pinnacle and Kalshi. They never see the composite, DRatings or Paine's Elo - opinions get copied.
Goalies
| Team | Goalie | Status | Reported | GSAx | Sv% | GP |
|---|
| FLA | — | unknown | | — | — | — |
| ANA | — | unknown | | — | — | — |
DailyFaceoff's starter and status; "not reported" is its projection before any news. GSAx (goals saved above expected) and Sv% are this season's (MoneyPuck).
Rest and travel
| Team | Rest days | Back-to-back | 3 in 4 | Km | Time zones | Trip/stand game |
|---|
| FLA | 2 | no | no | 535 | 0 | 3 |
| ANA | 1 | no | no | 354 | 0 | 1 |
Who is outESPN
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|
| ANA | A.J. Greer | Day-To-Day | Greer (upper body) took contact during Wednesday's practice, per Derek Lee of The Hockey News. |
| ANA | Drew Helleson | Injured Reserve | ir |
| ANA | Troy Terry | Injured Reserve | Terry (hip) was moved from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve Wednesday, Zach Cavanagh of The Sporting Tribune reports. |
| ANA | Ian Moore | Injured Reserve | ir |
| FLA | Gustav Forsling | Out | out |
| FLA | Brad Marchand | Injured Reserve | Marchand (lower body) might be able to play before the end of October, Max Miller of NHL.com reports Wednesday. |
| FLA | MacKenzie Entwistle | Injured Reserve | ir-nr |
| FLA | Jonah Gadjovich | Injured Reserve | Gadjovich (upper body) is out indefinitely, the team announced Thursday. |