Who wins
| Source | NYR wins | UTA wins | Basis |
|---|
| DraftKings | — | — | no line yet |
| Pinnacle | — | — | not posted yet |
| Kalshi | 52.0% | 48.0% | winner market, bid/ask midpoint, locked before puck drop |
| Composite ours | 48.6% | 51.4% | xG share + goalie + special teams + rest · goalies: most starts last season / most starts this season |
| DRatings public model | — | — | not published yet |
| Neil Paine Elo public model | — | — | not published for this game |
The pickers see DraftKings, Pinnacle and Kalshi. They never see the composite, DRatings or Paine's Elo - opinions get copied.
Goalies
| Team | Goalie | Status | Reported | GSAx | Sv% | GP |
|---|
| UTA | — | unknown | | — | — | — |
| NYR | — | unknown | | — | — | — |
DailyFaceoff's starter and status; "not reported" is its projection before any news. GSAx (goals saved above expected) and Sv% are this season's (MoneyPuck).
Rest and travel
| Team | Rest days | Back-to-back | 3 in 4 | Km | Time zones | Trip/stand game |
|---|
| UTA | 0 | yes | yes | 768 | 0 | 2 |
| NYR | 1 | no | yes | 774 | 0 | 1 |
Who is outESPN
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|
| NYR | Joonas Korpisalo | Injured Reserve | ir |
| NYR | Aidan Thompson | Injured Reserve | ir-nr |
| NYR | Adam Sykora | Injured Reserve | ir |
| UTA | Maveric Lamoureux | Injured Reserve | ir |