Win chance
BOS winsDraftKings 62%Ours 59%
MIN winsours is 2.6 pts toward BOS
Grey dot: DraftKings · gold: our composite · small dots: Kalshi, DRatings and Paine Elo (hover to see which). A gap is a reason to look, not to bet.
Who wins
| Source | MIN wins | BOS wins | Basis |
|---|
| DraftKings | 61.6% | 38.4% | moneyline +150 / -180, margin removed |
| Pinnacle | — | — | not posted yet |
| Kalshi | 62.0% | 38.0% | winner market, bid/ask midpoint, locked before puck drop |
| Composite ours | 59.1% | 40.9% | xG share + goalie + special teams + rest · goalies: most starts this season / most starts last season |
| DRatings public model | — | — | not published yet |
| Neil Paine Elo public model | — | — | not published for this game |
The pickers see DraftKings, Pinnacle and Kalshi. They never see the composite, DRatings or Paine's Elo - opinions get copied.
Goalies
| Team | Goalie | Status | Reported | GSAx | Sv% | GP |
|---|
| BOS | — | unknown | | — | — | — |
| MIN | — | unknown | | — | — | — |
DailyFaceoff's starter and status; "not reported" is its projection before any news. GSAx (goals saved above expected) and Sv% are this season's (MoneyPuck).
Rest and travel
| Team | Rest days | Back-to-back | 3 in 4 | Km | Time zones | Trip/stand game |
|---|
| BOS | 0 | yes | no | 628 | 0 | 2 |
| MIN | 1 | no | no | 1113 | 0 | 1 |
Who is outESPN
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|
| BOS | Matthew Poitras | Injured Reserve | Poitras (lower body) was placed on injured reserve by the Bruins on Sunday, per Conor Ryan of The Boston Globe. |
| BOS | Charlie McAvoy | Suspension | McAvoy logged an even-strength goal on three shots and four PIM in a game-high 28:35 of ice time during Sunday's 3-2 shootout win over the Capitals in preseason play. |
| MIN | Brock Faber | Injured Reserve | Faber underwent a procedure to repair his fractured skull and is without a timetable to return, per Michael Russo of The Athletic. |
| MIN | Filip Gustavsson | Injured Reserve | Gustavsson (hip) was placed on injured reserve Monday, according to Dylan Loucks of The Hockey News. |