Who wins
| Source | PHI wins | CAR wins | Basis |
|---|
| DraftKings | — | — | no line yet |
| Pinnacle | — | — | not posted yet |
| Kalshi | 43.0% | 57.0% | winner market, bid/ask midpoint, locked before puck drop |
| Composite ours | 51.3% | 48.7% | xG share + goalie + special teams + rest · goalies: most starts this season / most starts this season |
| DRatings public model | — | — | not published yet |
| Neil Paine Elo public model | — | — | not published for this game |
The pickers see DraftKings, Pinnacle and Kalshi. They never see the composite, DRatings or Paine's Elo - opinions get copied.
Goalies
| Team | Goalie | Status | Reported | GSAx | Sv% | GP |
|---|
| CAR | — | unknown | | — | — | — |
| PHI | — | unknown | | — | — | — |
DailyFaceoff's starter and status; "not reported" is its projection before any news. GSAx (goals saved above expected) and Sv% are this season's (MoneyPuck).
Rest and travel
| Team | Rest days | Back-to-back | 3 in 4 | Km | Time zones | Trip/stand game |
|---|
| CAR | 0 | yes | no | 552 | 0 | 1 |
| PHI | 1 | no | yes | 126 | 0 | 1 |
Who is outESPN
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|
| CAR | Seth Jarvis | Injured Reserve | Jarvis (shoulder) was placed on the injured non-roster list Sunday. |
| CAR | Alexander Nikishin | Out | out |
| PHI | Nikita Grebenkin | Out | out |
| PHI | Helge Grans | Injured Reserve | Grans (lower body) was put on the injured non-roster list Monday. |
| PHI | Denver Barkey | Injured Reserve | Barkey (lower body) was placed on injured reserve Monday. |