Win chance
ANA winsDraftKings 63%Ours 63%
VGK winswe match the market
Grey dot: DraftKings · gold: our composite · small dots: Kalshi, DRatings and Paine Elo (hover to see which). A gap is a reason to look, not to bet.
Who wins
| Source | VGK wins | ANA wins | Basis |
|---|
| DraftKings | 63.1% | 36.9% | moneyline +160 / -192, margin removed |
| Pinnacle | 62.4% | 37.6% | moneyline +158 / -180 · takes up to $2500 |
| Kalshi | 62.5% | 37.5% | winner market, bid/ask midpoint, locked before puck drop |
| Composite ours | 62.6% | 37.4% | xG share + goalie + special teams + rest · goalies: projected (DailyFaceoff) / projected (DailyFaceoff) |
| DRatings public model | 61.0% | 39.0% | projects 2.69–3.75 |
| Neil Paine Elo public model | — | — | not published for this game |
The pickers see DraftKings, Pinnacle and Kalshi. They never see the composite, DRatings or Paine's Elo - opinions get copied.
Goalies
| Team | Goalie | Status | Reported | GSAx | Sv% | GP |
|---|
| ANA | Lukas Dostal | not reported | | — | — | — |
| VGK | Carter Hart | not reported | | +0.0 | 0.923 | 1 |
DailyFaceoff's starter and status; "not reported" is its projection before any news. GSAx (goals saved above expected) and Sv% are this season's (MoneyPuck).
Rest and travel
| Team | Rest days | Back-to-back | 3 in 4 | Km | Time zones | Trip/stand game |
|---|
| ANA | — | no | no | 354 | 0 | 1 |
| VGK | 2 | no | no | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Who is outESPN
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|
| ANA | A.J. Greer | Day-To-Day | Greer (upper body) took contact during Wednesday's practice, per Derek Lee of The Hockey News. |
| ANA | Drew Helleson | Injured Reserve | ir |
| ANA | Troy Terry | Injured Reserve | Terry (hip) was moved from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve Wednesday, Zach Cavanagh of The Sporting Tribune reports. |
| ANA | Ian Moore | Injured Reserve | ir |
| VGK | Raphael Lavoie | Day-To-Day | day-to-day |
| VGK | Lukas Cormier | Injured Reserve | ir |