STL at DAL — DeskEdges

Game News Mismatches Team Personnel Betting

Win chance

STL wins

DraftKings 62%Ours 60%

DAL wins

ours is 2.4 pts toward STL

Grey dot: DraftKings · gold: our composite · small dots: Kalshi, DRatings and Paine Elo (hover to see which). A gap is a reason to look, not to bet.

Who wins

Source	DAL wins	STL wins	Basis
DraftKings	62.3%	37.7%	moneyline +154 / -185, margin removed
Pinnacle	62.5%	37.5%	moneyline +159 / -181 · takes up to $2500
Kalshi	62.5%	37.5%	winner market, bid/ask midpoint, locked before puck drop
Composite ours	59.8%	40.2%	xG share + goalie + special teams + rest · goalies: most starts last season / most starts last season
DRatings public model	64.0%	36.0%	projects 2.26–3.43
Neil Paine Elo public model	—	—	not published for this game

The pickers see DraftKings, Pinnacle and Kalshi. They never see the composite, DRatings or Paine's Elo - opinions get copied.

Goalies

Team	Goalie	Status	Reported	GSAx	Sv%	GP
STL	—	unknown		—	—	—
DAL	—	unknown		—	—	—

DailyFaceoff's starter and status; "not reported" is its projection before any news. GSAx (goals saved above expected) and Sv% are this season's (MoneyPuck).

Rest and travel

Team	Rest days	Back-to-back	3 in 4	Km	Time zones	Trip/stand game
STL	—	no	no	881	0	1
DAL	—	no	no	0	0	1

Referees

Not announced yet.

Who is outESPN

Team	Player	Status	Note
DAL	Matt Duchene	Injured Reserve	The Stars placed Duchene (lower body) on long-term injured reserve Thursday, retroactive to Sept. 29.
DAL	Harrison Scott	Injured Reserve	ir-nr
DAL	Luke Krys	Injured Reserve	ir-nr
DAL	Cameron Hughes	Injured Reserve	ir-nr
DAL	Tristan Bertucci	Injured Reserve	ir-nr
DAL	Jaxon Fuder	Injured Reserve	ir-nr
STL	Tyler Tucker	Injured Reserve	Tucker had arthroscopic knee surgery and will be re-assessed in six weeks, the team announced Wednesday.
STL	Felix Trudeau	Injured Reserve	ir-nr
STL	Logan Mailloux	Injured Reserve	ir