Win chance
WSH winsDraftKings 57%Ours 57%
CAR winsours is 0.6 pts toward WSH
Grey dot: DraftKings · gold: our composite · small dots: Kalshi, DRatings and Paine Elo (hover to see which). A gap is a reason to look, not to bet.
Who wins
| Source | CAR wins | WSH wins | Basis |
|---|
| DraftKings | 57.2% | 42.8% | moneyline +124 / -148, margin removed |
| Pinnacle | 57.3% | 42.7% | moneyline +127 / -144 · takes up to $2500 |
| Kalshi | 58.5% | 41.5% | winner market, bid/ask midpoint, locked before puck drop |
| Composite ours | 56.6% | 43.4% | xG share + goalie + special teams + rest · goalies: confirmed / projected (DailyFaceoff) |
| DRatings public model | 61.1% | 38.9% | projects 2.58–3.64 |
| Neil Paine Elo public model | — | — | not published for this game |
The pickers see DraftKings, Pinnacle and Kalshi. They never see the composite, DRatings or Paine's Elo - opinions get copied.
Goalies
| Team | Goalie | Status | Reported | GSAx | Sv% | GP |
|---|
| WSH | Logan Thompson | confirmed | 2026-10-01 16:07 UTC · Sammi Silber | — | — | — |
| CAR | Pyotr Kochetkov | not reported | | — | — | — |
DailyFaceoff's starter and status; "not reported" is its projection before any news. GSAx (goals saved above expected) and Sv% are this season's (MoneyPuck).
Rest and travel
| Team | Rest days | Back-to-back | 3 in 4 | Km | Time zones | Trip/stand game |
|---|
| WSH | — | no | no | 376 | 0 | 1 |
| CAR | 2 | no | no | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Who is outESPN
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|
| CAR | Seth Jarvis | Injured Reserve | Jarvis (shoulder) was placed on the injured non-roster list Sunday. |
| CAR | Alexander Nikishin | Out | out |
| WSH | Patrick Thomas | Injured Reserve | ir-nr |
| WSH | Rasmus Sandin | Injured Reserve | Sandin (knee) will begin the 2026-27 regular season on the injured non-roster list. |