Win chance
NYR winsDraftKings 54%Ours 55%
DET winswe match the market
Grey dot: DraftKings · gold: our composite · small dots: Kalshi, DRatings and Paine Elo (hover to see which). A gap is a reason to look, not to bet.
Who wins
| Source | DET wins | NYR wins | Basis |
|---|
| DraftKings | 54.3% | 45.7% | moneyline +110 / -130, margin removed |
| Pinnacle | 54.6% | 45.4% | moneyline +114 / -128 · takes up to $2500 |
| Kalshi | 54.5% | 45.5% | winner market, bid/ask midpoint, locked before puck drop |
| Composite ours | 54.5% | 45.5% | xG share + goalie + special teams + rest · goalies: projected (DailyFaceoff) / projected (DailyFaceoff) |
| DRatings public model | 53.2% | 46.8% | projects 2.75–3.09 |
| Neil Paine Elo public model | — | — | not published for this game |
The pickers see DraftKings, Pinnacle and Kalshi. They never see the composite, DRatings or Paine's Elo - opinions get copied.
Goalies
| Team | Goalie | Status | Reported | GSAx | Sv% | GP |
|---|
| NYR | Igor Shesterkin | not reported | | +0.6 | 0.909 | 1 |
| DET | John Gibson | not reported | | — | — | — |
DailyFaceoff's starter and status; "not reported" is its projection before any news. GSAx (goals saved above expected) and Sv% are this season's (MoneyPuck).
Rest and travel
| Team | Rest days | Back-to-back | 3 in 4 | Km | Time zones | Trip/stand game |
|---|
| NYR | 0 | yes | yes | 774 | 0 | 1 |
| DET | — | no | no | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Who is outESPN
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|
| DET | Dylan Larkin | Out | Head coach Todd McLellan said Thursday that Larkin (upper body) will be out for Friday's game against the Rangers and Sunday's game against the Jets, Max Bultman of The Athletic reports. |
| DET | Simon Edvinsson | Out | Edvinsson, who is a restricted free agent, has returned to Sweden to resume his training, per Andreas III Johnsson of Goteborgs-Posten on Wednesday. |
| DET | Andreas Englund | Injured Reserve | ir-nr |
| DET | Chase Stillman | Injured Reserve | Stillman (undisclosed) was moved to the injured non-roster list Monday. |
| DET | Carter Bear | Injured Reserve | Bear (upper body) was placed on the injured non-roster list Monday. |
| DET | Jacob Bernard-Docker | Injured Reserve | The Red Wings placed Bernard-Docker (upper body) on injured reserve Monday, Ansar Khan of MLive.com reports. |
| NYR | Joonas Korpisalo | Injured Reserve | ir |
| NYR | Aidan Thompson | Injured Reserve | ir-nr |
| NYR | Adam Sykora | Injured Reserve | ir |