Who wins
| Source | SJS wins | FLA wins | Basis |
|---|
| DraftKings | 42.8% | 57.2% | moneyline -148 / +124, margin removed |
| Pinnacle | 42.6% | 57.4% | moneyline -143 / +129 · takes up to $10000 |
| Kalshi | 42.5% | 57.5% | winner market, bid/ask midpoint, locked before puck drop |
| Composite ours | — | — | not built yet |
| DRatings public model | 40.1% | 59.9% | projects 3.67–2.65 |
| Neil Paine Elo public model | — | — | not published for this game |
The pickers see DraftKings, Pinnacle and Kalshi. They never see the composite, DRatings or Paine's Elo - opinions get copied.
Goalies
| Team | Goalie | Status | Reported | GSAx | Sv% | GP |
|---|
| FLA | Akira Schmid | confirmed | 2026-10-01 19:09 UTC · Florida Panthers | — | — | — |
| SJS | Yaroslav Askarov | confirmed | 2026-10-01 17:49 UTC · Sheng Peng | — | — | — |
DailyFaceoff's starter and status; "not reported" is its projection before any news. GSAx (goals saved above expected) and Sv% are this season's (MoneyPuck).
Rest and travel
| Team | Rest days | Back-to-back | 3 in 4 | Km | Time zones | Trip/stand game |
|---|
| FLA | 1 | no | no | 3826 | -3 | 2 |
| SJS | — | no | no | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Referees
Kyle Rehman, Graham Skilliter
announced 20 min before puck drop · linesmen Andrew Smith, Dan Kelly
Who is outESPN
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|
| FLA | Gustav Forsling | Out | out |
| FLA | Brad Marchand | Injured Reserve | Marchand (lower body) might be able to play before the end of October, Max Miller of NHL.com reports Wednesday. |
| FLA | MacKenzie Entwistle | Injured Reserve | ir-nr |
| FLA | Jonah Gadjovich | Injured Reserve | Gadjovich (upper body) is out indefinitely, the team announced Thursday. |
| SJS | Adam Gaudette | Injured Reserve | Gaudette (upper body) will begin the 2026-27 regular season on the injured non-roster list, per Curtis Pashelka of The San Jose Mercury News. |
| SJS | Alex Barre-Boulet | Injured Reserve | Barre-Boulet (undisclosed) will begin the 2026-27 regular season on injured reserve, per Curtis Pashelka of The San Jose Mercury News. |
| SJS | Quentin Musty | Injured Reserve | Musty (upper body) was put on non-roster injured reserve Monday, according to Curtis Pashelka of The San Jose Mercury News. |
| SJS | Cam Lund | Injured Reserve | Lund (upper body) was placed on non-roster injured reserve by the Sharks on Monday, Curtis Pashelka of The San Jose Mercury News reports. |
| SJS | Kyle Keyser | Injured Reserve | Keyser (upper body) was placed on non-roster injured reserve by the Sharks on Monday, Curtis Pashelka of The San Jose Mercury News reports. |
| SJS | Patrick Giles | Injured Reserve | Giles (upper body) was placed on non-roster injured reserve by the Sharks on Monday, Curtis Pashelka of The San Jose Mercury News reports. |