Who wins
| Source | NYR wins | TBL wins | Basis |
|---|
| DraftKings | 42.8% | 57.2% | moneyline -148 / +124, margin removed |
| Pinnacle | 42.0% | 58.0% | moneyline -147 / +132 · takes up to $10000 |
| Kalshi | 41.5% | 58.5% | winner market, bid/ask midpoint, locked before puck drop |
| Composite ours | — | — | not built yet |
| DRatings public model | 42.7% | 57.3% | projects 3.38–2.60 |
| Neil Paine Elo public model | — | — | not published for this game |
The pickers see DraftKings, Pinnacle and Kalshi. They never see the composite, DRatings or Paine's Elo - opinions get copied.
Goalies
| Team | Goalie | Status | Reported | GSAx | Sv% | GP |
|---|
| TBL | Andrei Vasilevskiy | confirmed | 2026-10-01 22:30 UTC · Eduardo Encina | — | — | — |
| NYR | Igor Shesterkin | confirmed | 2026-10-01 14:46 UTC · Colin Stephenson | +0.6 | 0.909 | 1 |
DailyFaceoff's starter and status; "not reported" is its projection before any news. GSAx (goals saved above expected) and Sv% are this season's (MoneyPuck).
Rest and travel
| Team | Rest days | Back-to-back | 3 in 4 | Km | Time zones | Trip/stand game |
|---|
| TBL | — | no | no | 1620 | 0 | 1 |
| NYR | 1 | no | no | 303 | 0 | 1 |
Referees
Frederick L'Ecuyer, Morgan MacPhee
announced 30 min before puck drop · linesmen Travis Gawryletz, Ryan Daisy
Who is outESPN
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|
| NYR | Joonas Korpisalo | Injured Reserve | ir |
| NYR | Aidan Thompson | Injured Reserve | ir-nr |
| NYR | Adam Sykora | Injured Reserve | ir |
| TBL | Yanni Gourde | Injured Reserve | Gourde (hip) was placed on the injured non-roster list Monday. |
| TBL | Dominic James | Injured Reserve | The Lightning placed James (hand) on non-roster injured reserve Monday. |