Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). DEL wins about 58% of the time at a number like ours.
DEL
Games
4
Plays per game
65.5
Drives per game
12.5
SP+
-10.7 (110th, offence 100th, defence 108th)
Returning production
85% (pass 96%, rush 88%, receiving 77%)
KENN
Games
4
Plays per game
68.0
Drives per game
11.2
SP+
-11.7 (113th, offence 108th, defence 101st)
Returning production
6% (pass 0%, rush -4%, receiving 13%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
DEL
KENN
pass rate, all downs
56%19th
50%51st
pass rate, standard downs
48%21st
47%28th
pass rate, 1st down
49%28th
53%12th
pass rate, red zone
44%42nd
32%97th
no-huddle share
72%59th
85%34th
pass rate, passing downs
72%30th
58%99th
seconds per play (own drives)
27.0101st
26.2118th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
DEL offence
DEL offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.036
262
114 of 138
success rate
0.389
262
116 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.267
262
53 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.046
262
97 of 138
rush: success rate
0.435
262
83 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.780
262
119 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.157
262
92 of 138
pass: success rate
0.369
262
116 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.735
262
29 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.479
262
84 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.226
262
128 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.717
262
118 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.209
262
112 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.647
262
110 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.600
262
89 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.214
262
136 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.111
262
113 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.103
262
137 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
71.400
262
52 of 138
KENN offence
KENN offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.097
272
95 of 138
success rate
0.460
272
53 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.051
272
133 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.157
272
53 of 138
rush: success rate
0.500
272
25 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.006
272
54 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.103
272
108 of 138
pass: success rate
0.438
272
71 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.128
272
138 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.534
272
36 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.289
272
93 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.314
272
38 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.197
272
99 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.818
272
28 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.167
272
57 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.140
272
68 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.085
272
62 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.055
272
73 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
73.200
272
29 of 138
DEL defence
DEL defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.080
294
79 of 138
success rate
0.388
294
65 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.312
294
100 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.060
294
36 of 138
rush: success rate
0.378
294
52 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.843
294
39 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.274
294
104 of 138
pass: success rate
0.414
294
81 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.642
294
97 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.455
294
75 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.262
294
51 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.903
294
79 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.150
294
25 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.833
294
114 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.800
294
34 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.184
294
104 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.109
294
89 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.075
294
103 of 138
opponent average starting field position
72.400
294
77 of 138
KENN defence
KENN defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.151
251
102 of 138
success rate
0.426
251
95 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.089
251
22 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.078
251
87 of 138
rush: success rate
0.404
251
70 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.901
251
66 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.264
251
100 of 138
pass: success rate
0.462
251
112 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.284
251
10 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.486
251
98 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.295
251
85 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.160
251
111 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.191
251
63 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.857
251
125 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.826
251
102 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.108
251
3 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.076
251
32 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.032
251
6 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.000
251
49 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs