Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). JXST wins about 53% of the time at a number like ours.
JXST
Games
5
Plays per game
61.6
Drives per game
9.6
SP+
-2.2 (77th, offence 70th, defence 87th)
Returning production
50% (pass 76%, rush 42%, receiving 49%)
KENN
Games
4
Plays per game
68.0
Drives per game
11.2
SP+
-11.7 (113th, offence 108th, defence 101st)
Returning production
6% (pass 0%, rush -4%, receiving 13%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
JXST
KENN
pass rate, all downs
46%90th
50%51st
pass rate, standard downs
41%71st
47%28th
pass rate, 1st down
49%26th
53%12th
no-huddle share
41%89th
85%34th
pass rate, passing downs
58%97th
58%99th
pass rate, red zone
32%99th
32%97th
seconds per play (own drives)
30.629th
26.2118th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
JXST offence
JXST offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.204
308
58 of 138
success rate
0.481
308
38 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.192
308
89 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.107
308
74 of 138
rush: success rate
0.473
308
46 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.935
308
80 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.383
308
35 of 138
pass: success rate
0.507
308
27 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.500
308
84 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.524
308
43 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.347
308
48 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.122
308
70 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.176
308
83 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.815
308
30 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.286
308
107 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.132
308
50 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.084
308
59 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.048
308
57 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
75.300
308
5 of 138
KENN offence
KENN offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.097
272
95 of 138
success rate
0.460
272
53 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.051
272
133 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.157
272
53 of 138
rush: success rate
0.500
272
25 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.006
272
54 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.103
272
108 of 138
pass: success rate
0.438
272
71 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.128
272
138 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.534
272
36 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.289
272
93 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.314
272
38 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.197
272
99 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.818
272
28 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.167
272
57 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.140
272
68 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.085
272
62 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.055
272
73 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
73.200
272
29 of 138
JXST defence
JXST defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.039
324
70 of 138
success rate
0.423
324
93 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.046
324
15 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.087
324
92 of 138
rush: success rate
0.433
324
95 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.871
324
48 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.043
324
42 of 138
pass: success rate
0.408
324
75 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.340
324
18 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.494
324
103 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.236
324
34 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.915
324
84 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.171
324
39 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.840
324
118 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.500
324
79 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.155
324
57 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.100
324
71 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.055
324
53 of 138
opponent average starting field position
74.000
324
108 of 138
KENN defence
KENN defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.151
251
102 of 138
success rate
0.426
251
95 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.089
251
22 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.078
251
87 of 138
rush: success rate
0.404
251
70 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.901
251
66 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.264
251
100 of 138
pass: success rate
0.462
251
112 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.284
251
10 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.486
251
98 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.295
251
85 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.160
251
111 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.191
251
63 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.857
251
125 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.826
251
102 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.108
251
3 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.076
251
32 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.032
251
6 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.000
251
49 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs