Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). LIB wins about 73% of the time at a number like ours.
SHSU
Games
4
Plays per game
70.0
Drives per game
13.5
SP+
-14.1 (117th, offence 113th, defence 112th)
Returning production
58% (pass -31%, rush -3%, receiving 57%)
LIB
Games
4
Plays per game
66.5
Drives per game
11.5
SP+
2.5 (62nd, offence 63rd, defence 54th)
Returning production
38% (pass 75%, rush 45%, receiving 21%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
SHSU
LIB
pass rate, all downs
59%7th
39%125th
pass rate, standard downs
52%7th
30%130th
pass rate, 1st down
56%5th
30%128th
no-huddle share
83%38th
77%50th
pass rate, passing downs
73%26th
62%76th
pass rate, red zone
54%11th
38%72nd
seconds per play (own drives)
29.852nd
30.827th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
SHSU offence
SHSU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.102
280
93 of 138
success rate
0.439
280
71 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.283
280
46 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.040
280
100 of 138
rush: success rate
0.474
280
45 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.824
280
108 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.204
280
80 of 138
pass: success rate
0.434
280
73 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.642
280
49 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.477
280
87 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.353
280
47 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.799
280
112 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.211
280
115 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.611
280
120 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.458
280
95 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.175
280
116 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.111
280
116 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.064
280
96 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
73.100
280
31 of 138
LIB offence
LIB offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.124
266
82 of 138
success rate
0.462
266
50 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.131
266
115 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.001
266
113 of 138
rush: success rate
0.475
266
42 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.689
266
133 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.381
266
36 of 138
pass: success rate
0.449
266
62 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.921
266
8 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.487
266
75 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.400
266
17 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.324
266
36 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.113
266
10 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.762
266
61 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.643
266
84 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.147
266
78 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.094
266
84 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.053
266
68 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
67.200
266
118 of 138
SHSU defence
SHSU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.065
263
74 of 138
success rate
0.388
263
66 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.259
263
86 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.204
263
128 of 138
rush: success rate
0.434
263
99 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.157
263
127 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.058
263
17 of 138
pass: success rate
0.330
263
17 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.396
263
30 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.445
263
65 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.278
263
66 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.075
263
104 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.203
263
80 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.737
263
79 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.875
263
40 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.224
263
132 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.125
263
114 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.099
263
132 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.300
263
53 of 138
LIB defence
LIB defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.039
245
71 of 138
success rate
0.355
245
37 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.386
245
123 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.147
245
114 of 138
rush: success rate
0.398
245
66 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.084
245
117 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.039
245
41 of 138
pass: success rate
0.322
245
16 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.804
245
122 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.396
245
25 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.286
245
77 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.019
245
97 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.211
245
89 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.727
245
76 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.857
245
39 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.188
245
110 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.110
245
90 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.078
245
110 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.900
245
63 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs