Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). GAST wins about 80% of the time at a number like ours.
ODU
Games
4
Plays per game
59.8
Drives per game
13.0
SP+
-7.9 (101st, offence 117th, defence 73rd)
Returning production
9% (pass -2%, rush 10%, receiving 18%)
GAST
Games
4
Plays per game
71.5
Drives per game
12.0
SP+
-11.2 (111th, offence 85th, defence 125th)
Returning production
47% (pass 64%, rush 127%, receiving 28%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
ODU
GAST
pass rate, all downs
47%75th
46%88th
pass rate, standard downs
39%92nd
41%77th
pass rate, 1st down
42%72nd
43%70th
no-huddle share
86%30th
85%35th
pass rate, red zone
30%110th
30%109th
pass rate, passing downs
60%88th
61%84th
seconds per play (own drives)
28.973rd
29.462nd
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
ODU offence
ODU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.100
239
135 of 138
success rate
0.310
239
138 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.483
239
5 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.076
239
126 of 138
rush: success rate
0.331
239
136 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.298
239
4 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.137
239
136 of 138
pass: success rate
0.290
239
136 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.677
239
37 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.299
239
138 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.326
239
63 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
1.613
239
138 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.315
239
138 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.300
239
137 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.913
239
124 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.243
239
138 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.205
239
138 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.038
239
25 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
71.100
239
61 of 138
GAST offence
GAST offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.251
286
39 of 138
success rate
0.479
286
39 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.296
286
43 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.184
286
43 of 138
rush: success rate
0.444
286
77 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.019
286
50 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.389
286
33 of 138
pass: success rate
0.520
286
21 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.560
286
67 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.491
286
72 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.444
286
6 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.301
286
40 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.176
286
82 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.632
286
114 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.345
286
44 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.105
286
18 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.052
286
13 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.052
286
64 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
69.700
286
86 of 138
ODU defence
ODU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.017
298
44 of 138
success rate
0.339
298
21 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.242
298
79 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.106
298
25 of 138
rush: success rate
0.318
298
18 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.963
298
85 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.102
298
61 of 138
pass: success rate
0.361
298
33 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.578
298
81 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.368
298
13 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.286
298
78 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.389
298
24 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.223
298
104 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.619
298
30 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.333
298
66 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.164
298
76 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.128
298
116 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.037
298
11 of 138
opponent average starting field position
66.000
298
4 of 138
GAST defence
GAST defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.024
242
66 of 138
success rate
0.380
242
59 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.294
242
94 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.174
242
121 of 138
rush: success rate
0.409
242
74 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.187
242
132 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.057
242
18 of 138
pass: success rate
0.365
242
40 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.383
242
28 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.449
242
70 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.256
242
46 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.091
242
107 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.209
242
87 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
1.000
242
138 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.227
242
59 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.178
242
88 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.116
242
101 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.062
242
69 of 138
opponent average starting field position
70.400
242
39 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs