Arkansas State · away
at
UL -6.5
Saturday 2026-10-03 20:00 · Cajun Field
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
UL pass rush4.4% 9181st9.5% 16952ndfaces ARST6.7% 9095th5.5% ~1.8 sacks
ARST pass rush2.9% 70110th7.2% 193101stfaces UL6.7% 7592nd4.8% ~1.6 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

ARST with the ball

ARST offence vs UL defenceARST offenceUL defencerank gap
points added per play0.15272nd-0.1663rd-69
success rate0.48534th0.39773rd+39
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.147109th0.9845th-104
rush: points added per play0.23729th-0.3052nd-27
rush: success rate0.50422nd0.41882nd+60
rush: explosiveness0.96272nd0.5047th-65
pass: points added per play0.124102nd0.12768th-34
pass: success rate0.47248th0.40876th+28
pass: explosiveness1.402113th1.42935th-78
standard downs: success rate0.55523rd0.44971st+48
passing downs: success rate0.29090th0.28069th-21
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.37130th2.65153rd+23
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.14642nd0.245118th+76
short-yardage conversion rate0.73974th0.4626th-68
points per trip inside the 403.43596th4.455126th+30
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14067th0.18296th+29
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07236th0.116102nd+66
havoc allowed by the secondary0.068106th0.06686th-20
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.70085th——

UL with the ball

UL offence vs ARST defenceUL offenceARST defencerank gap
points added per play0.13278th0.161111th+33
success rate0.42585th0.453120th+35
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.17595th1.24480th-15
rush: points added per play0.15455th0.02568th+13
rush: success rate0.42192nd0.463116th+24
rush: explosiveness1.12319th0.89060th+41
pass: points added per play0.25668th0.462133rd+65
pass: success rate0.45158th0.455110th+52
pass: explosiveness1.257135th1.804121st-14
standard downs: success rate0.47588th0.500112th+24
passing downs: success rate0.32662nd0.329110th+48
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.05978th3.389126th+48
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.18389th0.13616th-73
short-yardage conversion rate0.75066th0.76289th+23
points per trip inside the 403.79375th3.47676th+1
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15080th0.12516th-64
havoc allowed by the front seven0.117122nd0.07016th-106
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03317th0.05551st+34
average starting field position (yards from own goal)65.900125th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.