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Final null 7 – 38 UL
Saturday 2026-09-05 20:00 · Cajun Field
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The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

UL

Games4
Plays per game68.2
Drives per game11.5
SP+-3.0 (80th, offence 83rd, defence 82nd)
Returning production92% (pass 101%, rush 82%, receiving 92%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceUL
pass rate, all downs—39%123rd
pass rate, standard downs—33%120th
pass rate, 1st down—33%119th
no-huddle share—59%73rd
pass rate, passing downs—53%120th
pass rate, red zone—22%126th
seconds per play (own drives)—31.417th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

UL offence

UL offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.13227378 of 138
success rate0.42527385 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.17527395 of 138
rush: points added per play0.15427355 of 138
rush: success rate0.42127392 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.12327319 of 138
pass: points added per play0.25627368 of 138
pass: success rate0.45127358 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.257273135 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.47527388 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.32627362 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.05927378 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.18327389 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.75027366 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.79327375 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15027380 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.117273122 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03327317 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)65.900273125 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

UL defence

UL defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.1662423 of 138
success rate0.39724273 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)0.9842425 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.3052422 of 138
rush: success rate0.41824282 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.5042427 of 138
pass: points added per play0.12724268 of 138
pass: success rate0.40824276 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.42924235 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.44924271 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.28024269 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.65124253 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.245242118 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.4622426 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.455242126 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.18224296 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.116242102 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.06624286 of 138
opponent average starting field position75.200242121 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs