· away
at
Final null 3 – 49 USM
Saturday 2026-09-05 17:00 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
Southern Miss · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

USM

Games4
Plays per game71.5
Drives per game12.5
SP+-18.4 (128th, offence 115th, defence 132nd)
Returning production90% (pass 97%, rush 102%, receiving 82%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceUSM
pass rate, all downs—53%32nd
pass rate, standard downs—46%38th
pass rate, 1st down—42%79th
pass rate, red zone—26%121st
no-huddle share—59%72nd
pass rate, passing downs—70%35th
seconds per play (own drives)—25.1127th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

USM offence

USM offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.063286103 of 138
success rate0.43028683 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.125286117 of 138
rush: points added per play0.19028640 of 138
rush: success rate0.47028650 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.824286109 of 138
pass: points added per play0.000286125 of 138
pass: success rate0.40828693 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.440286103 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.49328668 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.272286105 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.58228613 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.0902862 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.84228618 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.09128659 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15728690 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07028632 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.087286134 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)75.0002869 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

USM defence

USM defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.12329894 of 138
success rate0.40629881 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.27329890 of 138
rush: points added per play0.189298125 of 138
rush: success rate0.453298109 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.039298104 of 138
pass: points added per play0.20929888 of 138
pass: success rate0.36329837 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.731298117 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.42529850 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.363298125 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.197298114 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.18029850 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.70629865 of 138
points per trip inside the 402.96029846 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13129829 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.08729849 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.04429829 of 138
opponent average starting field position72.60029883 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs