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at
Final null 14 – 39 USA
Saturday 2026-09-05 19:00 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
South Alabama · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

USA

Games4
Plays per game77.0
Drives per game11.2
SP+-15.4 (121st, offence 88th, defence 136th)
Returning production79% (pass 95%, rush 62%, receiving 80%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceUSA
pass rate, all downs—42%112th
pass rate, standard downs—37%111th
pass rate, 1st down—40%95th
no-huddle share—92%18th
pass rate, passing downs—54%116th
pass rate, red zone—29%115th
seconds per play (own drives)—29.561st

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

USA offence

USA offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.17430863 of 138
success rate0.41930891 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.30230838 of 138
rush: points added per play0.17730847 of 138
rush: success rate0.42530890 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.06830829 of 138
pass: points added per play0.20830877 of 138
pass: success rate0.42130885 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.63930850 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.448308111 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.35430845 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.18230862 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.12130816 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.79230844 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.29630848 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14630877 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08830872 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05830880 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.30030893 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

USA defence

USA defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.279218132 of 138
success rate0.486218134 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.460218133 of 138
rush: points added per play0.349218138 of 138
rush: success rate0.505218134 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.380218137 of 138
pass: points added per play0.21021889 of 138
pass: success rate0.462218113 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.56521876 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.532218131 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.367218127 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.230218118 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.17421842 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.60021825 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.077218116 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.17921893 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.11521899 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.06421881 of 138
opponent average starting field position68.30021820 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs