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Final null 14 – 39 USA
Saturday 2026-09-05 19:00 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
South Alabama · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

Betting

Vegas

TeamSpreadPointsMoneylineWin%Kalshi
away+13.520.0+42518.3%—
USA home-13.533.5-57581.7%—
Total53.5
The closing line: this game was played before live prices were being collected.

Our model — cards

Nothing to show for this game.

FEI — bcftoys.com

Nothing to show for this game.
"Points" is the implied score for each side: a spread and a total are the margin and the sum, so solving them back out says what each team is expected to score. A favourite is shown negative, the way a book quotes it. "vs book" is that model's line for the team minus the book's, so a plus means the model makes them the weaker side. Our cards are EA College Football 27 launch ratings rolled up; the gap between two teams is multiplied by a scale fitted on this season's results (real margins have run about 1.8 times the raw gap), plus 2.5 points of home field; the win chance comes from how far 7,877 FBS results landed from a line. FEI is Brian Fremeau's projection, shown as a reference only: measured on his own results pages it went 49.9% against the spread over 3,101 games (2022–25), and the pickers never see it. Neither model has shown it beats a closing line.

Team ratings

Ratings not built yet.

Quarterbacks

no starter identified
Jared Hollins USA68 overall · Sophomore
Points added per play0.117
Completion57.1%
TD–INT3-2
Pass attempts, median game20
Pass yards, median game192
Rush yards, median game18
Games this season3
Team throws per game30.5
The starter comes from the maintained depth chart (cfbdepth.com). The rating is EA College Football 27's Week 3 Ratings (EA re-rates weekly; we take the newest); everything under it is what CFBD has measured this season, as a median game rather than a total so a man who missed time is not shrunk.

Against the number

TeamATSCover%vs spreadO/Uvs total
no games with a line yet
USA home2-250%+2.93-1+10.5

Against DraftKings' closing number, this season. A record of what happened and nothing more — cover rates do not predict, which is why the pickers never see them.

Streak trends

No 4+ streak in any split for either side.

Cover, win/loss and over/under streaks in every split (home, away, favourite, underdog, division, primetime, big favourite), counted against the closing line. Measured over every FBS season on file: cover and over/under streaks revert (fade 6+); college win/loss streaks tell you nothing against the spread (50%), so they are shown here but the picker ignores them. These never reach the pickers' bundle; the "streak" row on the picks board bets on its own.

Venue, weather, rest and travel

Built when the game's bundle is (Hancock Whitney Stadium).

Who is out (reported)

No news read for this game yet.

Covers.com injury tags

TeamPlayerStatusSinceNote
USAK. Marion WRout UndisclosedThu, Oct 1Marion has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
USAD. White WRout UndisclosedThu, Oct 1White is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to face against Louisiana-Monroe on Saturday.
USAB. Barnes WRout UndisclosedThu, Oct 1Barnes has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
USAM. Lynch TEout UndisclosedThu, Oct 1Lynch has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.