· away
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Final null 7 – 52 ARST
Saturday 2026-09-12 19:00 · Centennial Bank Stadium
Arkansas State · home
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The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

ARST

Games4
Plays per game58.8
Drives per game10.0
SP+-9.5 (107th, offence 93rd, defence 110th)
Returning production30% (pass 7%, rush -246%, receiving 54%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceARST
pass rate, all downs—47%78th
pass rate, standard downs—40%86th
pass rate, 1st down—43%69th
no-huddle share—33%99th
pass rate, passing downs—67%52nd
pass rate, red zone—32%102nd
seconds per play (own drives)—33.54th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

ARST offence

ARST offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.15223572 of 138
success rate0.48523534 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.147235109 of 138
rush: points added per play0.23723529 of 138
rush: success rate0.50423522 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.96223572 of 138
pass: points added per play0.124235102 of 138
pass: success rate0.47223548 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.402235113 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.55523523 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.29023590 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.37123530 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.14623542 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.73923574 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.43523596 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14023567 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07223536 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.068235106 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.70023585 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

ARST defence

ARST defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.161256111 of 138
success rate0.453256120 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.24425680 of 138
rush: points added per play0.02525668 of 138
rush: success rate0.463256116 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.89025660 of 138
pass: points added per play0.462256133 of 138
pass: success rate0.455256110 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.804256121 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.500256112 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.329256110 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.389256126 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.13625616 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.76225689 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.47625676 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.12525616 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.07025616 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.05525651 of 138
opponent average starting field position73.700256103 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs