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Final null 7 – 49 JXST
Saturday 2026-09-05 19:00 · AmFirst Stadium
Jacksonville State · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

JXST

Games5
Plays per game61.6
Drives per game9.6
SP+-2.2 (77th, offence 70th, defence 87th)
Returning production50% (pass 76%, rush 42%, receiving 49%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceJXST
pass rate, all downs—46%90th
pass rate, standard downs—41%71st
pass rate, 1st down—49%26th
no-huddle share—41%89th
pass rate, passing downs—58%97th
pass rate, red zone—32%99th
seconds per play (own drives)—30.629th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

JXST offence

JXST offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.20430858 of 138
success rate0.48130838 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.19230889 of 138
rush: points added per play0.10730874 of 138
rush: success rate0.47330846 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.93530880 of 138
pass: points added per play0.38330835 of 138
pass: success rate0.50730827 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.50030884 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.52430843 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.34730848 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.12230870 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.17630883 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.81530830 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.286308107 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13230850 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08430859 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04830857 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)75.3003085 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

JXST defence

JXST defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.03932470 of 138
success rate0.42332493 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.04632415 of 138
rush: points added per play0.08732492 of 138
rush: success rate0.43332495 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.87132448 of 138
pass: points added per play0.04332442 of 138
pass: success rate0.40832475 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.34032418 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.494324103 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.23632434 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.91532484 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.17132439 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.840324118 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.50032479 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15532457 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.10032471 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.05532453 of 138
opponent average starting field position74.000324108 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs