Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). M-OH wins about 53% of the time at a number like ours.
M-OH
Games
4
Plays per game
58.8
Drives per game
10.2
SP+
-4.3 (88th, offence 86th, defence 91st)
Returning production
14% (pass -2%, rush 33%, receiving 13%)
KENT
Games
4
Plays per game
61.5
Drives per game
11.5
SP+
-22.4 (130th, offence 132nd, defence 122nd)
Returning production
64% (pass 103%, rush 76%, receiving 45%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
M-OH
KENT
pass rate, all downs
52%40th
42%113th
pass rate, standard downs
41%72nd
34%117th
pass rate, 1st down
47%40th
27%133rd
no-huddle share
22%109th
58%74th
pass rate, passing downs
74%24th
54%115th
pass rate, red zone
22%127th
33%90th
seconds per play (own drives)
30.533rd
31.616th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
M-OH offence
M-OH offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.239
235
43 of 138
success rate
0.430
235
82 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.426
235
12 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.017
235
111 of 138
rush: success rate
0.389
235
111 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.877
235
92 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.619
235
6 of 138
pass: success rate
0.487
235
37 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.867
235
11 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.488
235
74 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.301
235
83 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.871
235
100 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.212
235
116 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.667
235
104 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.909
235
70 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.149
235
79 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.111
235
115 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.038
235
24 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
71.000
235
63 of 138
KENT offence
KENT offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.028
246
126 of 138
success rate
0.313
246
137 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.368
246
22 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.079
246
129 of 138
rush: success rate
0.331
246
135 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.972
246
67 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.126
246
100 of 138
pass: success rate
0.296
246
135 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.978
246
5 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.372
246
136 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.224
246
129 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.778
246
113 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.223
246
123 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.615
246
118 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.895
246
125 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.163
246
98 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.085
246
63 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.077
246
121 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
74.600
246
12 of 138
M-OH defence
M-OH defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.179
260
116 of 138
success rate
0.450
260
115 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.316
260
102 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.065
260
83 of 138
rush: success rate
0.425
260
86 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.985
260
91 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.372
260
123 of 138
pass: success rate
0.483
260
125 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.529
260
62 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.509
260
117 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.341
260
116 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.860
260
69 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.217
260
98 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.778
260
101 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.700
260
129 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.104
260
2 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.065
260
9 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.038
260
13 of 138
opponent average starting field position
72.500
260
80 of 138
KENT defence
KENT defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.201
249
121 of 138
success rate
0.474
249
133 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.272
249
89 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.133
249
109 of 138
rush: success rate
0.434
249
98 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.890
249
61 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.312
249
115 of 138
pass: success rate
0.517
249
135 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.555
249
71 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.556
249
137 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.261
249
49 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.189
249
113 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.156
249
28 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.842
249
120 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
5.261
249
137 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.141
249
39 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.100
249
72 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.040
249
17 of 138
opponent average starting field position
70.100
249
36 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs