Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). WMU wins about 80% of the time at a number like ours.
EMU
Games
5
Plays per game
65.2
Drives per game
11.2
SP+
-18.0 (127th, offence 127th, defence 110th)
Returning production
72% (pass 97%, rush 49%, receiving 64%)
WMU
Games
4
Plays per game
61.2
Drives per game
10.8
SP+
-7.2 (96th, offence 113th, defence 72nd)
Returning production
100% (pass 100%, rush 100%, receiving 100%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
EMU
WMU
pass rate, all downs
57%15th
43%109th
pass rate, standard downs
49%16th
39%89th
pass rate, 1st down
52%15th
46%49th
no-huddle share
14%118th
19%113th
pass rate, passing downs
75%19th
50%128th
pass rate, red zone
43%44th
18%131st
seconds per play (own drives)
29.755th
33.63rd
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
EMU offence
EMU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.016
326
124 of 138
success rate
0.371
326
122 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.143
326
110 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.036
326
102 of 138
rush: success rate
0.394
326
109 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.956
326
74 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.058
326
112 of 138
pass: success rate
0.362
326
121 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.310
326
126 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.436
326
121 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.236
326
123 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.895
326
98 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.168
326
68 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.800
326
37 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.179
326
114 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.172
326
112 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.098
326
94 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.074
326
116 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
74.800
326
10 of 138
WMU offence
WMU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.093
245
97 of 138
success rate
0.400
245
108 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.167
245
99 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.147
245
63 of 138
rush: success rate
0.413
245
97 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.979
245
64 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.006
245
126 of 138
pass: success rate
0.380
245
111 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.426
245
106 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.450
245
108 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.306
245
75 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.870
245
101 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.167
245
67 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.737
245
78 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.364
245
42 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.131
245
49 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.094
245
86 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.037
245
23 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
69.600
245
92 of 138
EMU defence
EMU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.112
332
90 of 138
success rate
0.410
332
84 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.253
332
84 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.064
332
82 of 138
rush: success rate
0.406
332
72 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.040
332
105 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.204
332
87 of 138
pass: success rate
0.426
332
96 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.455
332
50 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.484
332
96 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.265
332
55 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.970
332
92 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.187
332
55 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.696
332
57 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.406
332
72 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.179
332
91 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.095
332
61 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.084
332
122 of 138
opponent average starting field position
68.800
332
23 of 138
WMU defence
WMU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.099
269
86 of 138
success rate
0.465
269
125 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.025
269
10 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.022
269
66 of 138
rush: success rate
0.450
269
108 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.720
269
18 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.173
269
81 of 138
pass: success rate
0.464
269
115 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.440
269
42 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.477
269
91 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.432
269
137 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.051
269
103 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.172
269
41 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.720
269
70 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.650
269
89 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.108
269
4 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.056
269
3 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.052
269
45 of 138
opponent average starting field position
76.300
269
132 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs