Kent State · away
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Tuesday 2026-11-10 19:00 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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The units, side by side

KENTBGSUbar = FBS percentile, longer is better · dotted tick = median teamOffence: points per play — offence91Offence: points per play — defence128Offence: success rate — offence12Offence: success rate — defence42Offence: explosiveness — offence850Offence: explosiveness — defence3633Run game — offence70Run game — defence214Pass game — offence2820Pass game — defence1723Line yards (O-line vs D-line) — offence182Line yards (O-line vs D-line) — defence184Havoc (allowed vs created) — offence297Havoc (allowed vs created) — defence7291

Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.

What actually happens around a number like this

tiecardsKENT by 38BGSU by 42

Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). BGSU wins about 53% of the time at a number like ours.

KENT

Games4
Plays per game61.5
Drives per game11.5
SP+-22.4 (130th, offence 132nd, defence 122nd)
Returning production64% (pass 103%, rush 76%, receiving 45%)

BGSU

Games4
Plays per game58.0
Drives per game11.2
SP+-26.4 (136th, offence 138th, defence 126th)
Returning production-6% (pass 940%, rush 0%, receiving 3%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceKENTBGSU
pass rate, all downs42%113th45%95th
pass rate, standard downs34%117th38%99th
pass rate, 1st down27%133rd38%105th
no-huddle share58%74th29%102nd
pass rate, passing downs54%115th59%94th
pass rate, red zone33%90th25%122nd
seconds per play (own drives)31.616th32.68th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

KENT offence

KENT offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.028246126 of 138
success rate0.313246137 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.36824622 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.079246129 of 138
rush: success rate0.331246135 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.97224667 of 138
pass: points added per play0.126246100 of 138
pass: success rate0.296246135 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.9782465 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.372246136 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.224246129 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.778246113 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.223246123 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.615246118 of 138
points per trip inside the 402.895246125 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.16324698 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08524663 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.077246121 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)74.60024612 of 138

BGSU offence

BGSU offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.115232136 of 138
success rate0.336232135 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)0.958232138 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.261232138 of 138
rush: success rate0.302232138 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.577232136 of 138
pass: points added per play0.059232111 of 138
pass: success rate0.364232119 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.447232101 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.431232124 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.152232137 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.431232135 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.246232133 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.72723280 of 138
points per trip inside the 401.188232138 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.194232129 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.138232135 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05623276 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.30023253 of 138

KENT defence

KENT defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.201249121 of 138
success rate0.474249133 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.27224989 of 138
rush: points added per play0.133249109 of 138
rush: success rate0.43424998 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.89024961 of 138
pass: points added per play0.312249115 of 138
pass: success rate0.517249135 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.55524971 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.556249137 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.26124949 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.189249113 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.15624928 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.842249120 of 138
points per trip inside the 405.261249137 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14124939 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.10024972 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.04024917 of 138
opponent average starting field position70.10024936 of 138

BGSU defence

BGSU defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.227242127 of 138
success rate0.492242135 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.29424293 of 138
rush: points added per play0.251242132 of 138
rush: success rate0.520242137 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.216242133 of 138
pass: points added per play0.277242106 of 138
pass: success rate0.477242122 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.43824239 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.556242136 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.30624294 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.436242133 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.16924236 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.73924281 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.231242121 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.12024213 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.09124256 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.0292422 of 138
opponent average starting field position70.10024235 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs