Kent State · away
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Friday 2026-10-30 22:30 · Hornet Stadium
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The units, side by side

KENTSACbar = FBS percentile, longer is better · dotted tick = median teamOffence: points per play — offence95Offence: points per play — defence1230Offence: success rate — offence131Offence: success rate — defence472Offence: explosiveness — offence851Offence: explosiveness — defence367Run game — offence75Run game — defence2169Pass game — offence2811Pass game — defence1714Line yards (O-line vs D-line) — offence1812Line yards (O-line vs D-line) — defence1840Havoc (allowed vs created) — offence2922Havoc (allowed vs created) — defence7290

Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.

What actually happens around a number like this

tiecardsKENT by 43SAC by 37

Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). KENT wins about 58% of the time at a number like ours.

KENT

Games4
Plays per game61.5
Drives per game11.5
SP+-22.4 (130th, offence 132nd, defence 122nd)
Returning production64% (pass 103%, rush 76%, receiving 45%)

SAC

Games5
Plays per game69.8
Drives per game12.2
SP+-22.9 (131st, offence 133rd, defence 124th)
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceKENTSAC
pass rate, all downs42%113th58%9th
pass rate, standard downs34%117th47%32nd
pass rate, 1st down27%133rd46%44th
no-huddle share58%74th16%116th
pass rate, passing downs54%115th85%2nd
pass rate, red zone33%90th51%16th
seconds per play (own drives)31.616th28.577th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

KENT offence

KENT offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.028246126 of 138
success rate0.313246137 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.36824622 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.079246129 of 138
rush: success rate0.331246135 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.97224667 of 138
pass: points added per play0.126246100 of 138
pass: success rate0.296246135 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.9782465 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.372246136 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.224246129 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.778246113 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.223246123 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.615246118 of 138
points per trip inside the 402.895246125 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.16324698 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08524663 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.077246121 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)74.60024612 of 138

SAC offence

SAC offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.061349131 of 138
success rate0.41834995 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.005349136 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.089349131 of 138
rush: success rate0.47634941 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.705349131 of 138
pass: points added per play0.002349123 of 138
pass: success rate0.387349103 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.274349132 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.49634964 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.228349126 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.691349121 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.252349135 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.75034970 of 138
points per trip inside the 402.552349129 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.169349108 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08334958 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.086349132 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.10034962 of 138

KENT defence

KENT defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.201249121 of 138
success rate0.474249133 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.27224989 of 138
rush: points added per play0.133249109 of 138
rush: success rate0.43424998 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.89024961 of 138
pass: points added per play0.312249115 of 138
pass: success rate0.517249135 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.55524971 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.556249137 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.26124949 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.189249113 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.15624928 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.842249120 of 138
points per trip inside the 405.261249137 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14124939 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.10024972 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.04024917 of 138
opponent average starting field position70.10024936 of 138

SAC defence

SAC defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.12530397 of 138
success rate0.36030340 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.417303128 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.03730343 of 138
rush: success rate0.32330322 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.113303121 of 138
pass: points added per play0.341303119 of 138
pass: success rate0.41430382 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.674303105 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.43630358 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.20830314 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.91230383 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.18030349 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.5003039 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.821303100 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.12230315 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.08930353 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.0333037 of 138
opponent average starting field position72.20030372 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs