Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). OHIO wins about 53% of the time at a number like ours.
EMU
Games
5
Plays per game
65.2
Drives per game
11.2
SP+
-18.0 (127th, offence 127th, defence 110th)
Returning production
72% (pass 97%, rush 49%, receiving 64%)
OHIO
Games
4
Plays per game
66.2
Drives per game
10.2
SP+
-10.5 (109th, offence 105th, defence 101st)
Returning production
63% (pass 94%, rush 100%, receiving 17%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
EMU
OHIO
pass rate, all downs
57%15th
43%105th
pass rate, standard downs
49%16th
39%93rd
pass rate, 1st down
52%15th
41%84th
no-huddle share
14%118th
89%23rd
pass rate, passing downs
75%19th
53%118th
pass rate, red zone
43%44th
33%95th
seconds per play (own drives)
29.755th
30.437th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
EMU offence
EMU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.016
326
124 of 138
success rate
0.371
326
122 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.143
326
110 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.036
326
102 of 138
rush: success rate
0.394
326
109 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.956
326
74 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.058
326
112 of 138
pass: success rate
0.362
326
121 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.310
326
126 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.436
326
121 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.236
326
123 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.895
326
98 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.168
326
68 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.800
326
37 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.179
326
114 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.172
326
112 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.098
326
94 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.074
326
116 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
74.800
326
10 of 138
OHIO offence
OHIO offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.223
265
53 of 138
success rate
0.442
265
69 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.257
265
57 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.286
265
16 of 138
rush: success rate
0.463
265
57 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.053
265
36 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.104
265
107 of 138
pass: success rate
0.396
265
100 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.555
265
69 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.516
265
47 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.272
265
104 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.566
265
14 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.101
265
8 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.864
265
12 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.280
265
51 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.137
265
63 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.070
265
31 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.067
265
103 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
69.700
265
88 of 138
EMU defence
EMU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.112
332
90 of 138
success rate
0.410
332
84 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.253
332
84 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.064
332
82 of 138
rush: success rate
0.406
332
72 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.040
332
105 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.204
332
87 of 138
pass: success rate
0.426
332
96 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.455
332
50 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.484
332
96 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.265
332
55 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.970
332
92 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.187
332
55 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.696
332
57 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.406
332
72 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.179
332
91 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.095
332
61 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.084
332
122 of 138
opponent average starting field position
68.800
332
23 of 138
OHIO defence
OHIO defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.276
257
131 of 138
success rate
0.432
257
100 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.381
257
121 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.147
257
115 of 138
rush: success rate
0.405
257
71 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.088
257
118 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.490
257
135 of 138
pass: success rate
0.480
257
123 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.774
257
118 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.440
257
60 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.413
257
134 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.833
257
67 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.209
257
88 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.762
257
91 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
5.350
257
138 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.158
257
63 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.112
257
93 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.046
257
33 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.600
257
60 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs