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Saturday 2026-10-24 · time TBA · Dix Stadium
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The units, side by side

AKRKENTbar = FBS percentile, longer is better · dotted tick = median teamOffence: points per play — offence159Offence: points per play — defence712Offence: success rate — offence531Offence: success rate — defence294Offence: explosiveness — offence185Offence: explosiveness — defence1736Run game — offence437Run game — defence4521Pass game — offence1528Pass game — defence117Line yards (O-line vs D-line) — offence9218Line yards (O-line vs D-line) — defence4718Havoc (allowed vs created) — offence529Havoc (allowed vs created) — defence6472

Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.

What actually happens around a number like this

tiecardsAKR by 35KENT by 45

Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). KENT wins about 63% of the time at a number like ours.

AKR

Games4
Plays per game65.5
Drives per game11.5
SP+-23.1 (132nd, offence 130th, defence 130th)
Returning production92% (pass 87%, rush 102%, receiving 92%)

KENT

Games4
Plays per game61.5
Drives per game11.5
SP+-22.4 (130th, offence 132nd, defence 122nd)
Returning production64% (pass 103%, rush 76%, receiving 45%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceAKRKENT
pass rate, all downs56%21st42%113th
pass rate, standard downs46%35th34%117th
pass rate, 1st down50%21st27%133rd
no-huddle share98%3rd58%74th
pass rate, passing downs77%12th54%115th
pass rate, red zone48%25th33%90th
seconds per play (own drives)28.181st31.616th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

AKR offence

AKR offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.020262117 of 138
success rate0.44326266 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)0.981262137 of 138
rush: points added per play0.09926279 of 138
rush: success rate0.51326219 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.709262129 of 138
pass: points added per play0.027262117 of 138
pass: success rate0.41026292 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.262262134 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.50026259 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.30826274 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.61926212 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.13026223 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.81826227 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.95026269 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.198262131 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.122262126 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.076262119 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)75.4002624 of 138

KENT offence

KENT offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.028246126 of 138
success rate0.313246137 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.36824622 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.079246129 of 138
rush: success rate0.331246135 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.97224667 of 138
pass: points added per play0.126246100 of 138
pass: success rate0.296246135 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.9782465 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.372246136 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.224246129 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.778246113 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.223246123 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.615246118 of 138
points per trip inside the 402.895246125 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.16324698 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08524663 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.077246121 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)74.60024612 of 138

AKR defence

AKR defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.241246129 of 138
success rate0.43124698 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.372246115 of 138
rush: points added per play0.04524676 of 138
rush: success rate0.436246101 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.87824655 of 138
pass: points added per play0.494246136 of 138
pass: success rate0.41924690 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.910246134 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.48224694 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.316246102 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.89124673 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.18824657 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.68824655 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.79224699 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15024650 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.08124637 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.06924691 of 138
opponent average starting field position68.40024622 of 138

KENT defence

KENT defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.201249121 of 138
success rate0.474249133 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.27224989 of 138
rush: points added per play0.133249109 of 138
rush: success rate0.43424998 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.89024961 of 138
pass: points added per play0.312249115 of 138
pass: success rate0.517249135 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.55524971 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.556249137 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.26124949 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.189249113 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.15624928 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.842249120 of 138
points per trip inside the 405.261249137 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14124939 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.10024972 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.04024917 of 138
opponent average starting field position70.10024936 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs